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Working Papers
from Duke University, Department of Economics
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09-02: Has models’ forecasting performance for US output growth and inflation changed over time, and when?
Tatevik Sekhposyan and Barbara Rossi 08-04: Forecast Comparisons in Unstable Environments
Raffaella Giacomini and Barbara Rossi 08-03: CAN EXCHANGE RATES FORECAST COMMODITY PRICES?
Chen, Yu-chin , Kenneth Rogoff and Barbara Rossi 08-02: Which Structural Parameters Are "Structural"? Identifying the Sources of Instabilities in Economic Models
Atsushi Inoue and Barbara Rossi 07-04: Information Criteria for Impulse Response Function Matching Estimation of DSGE Models
Alastair Hall , Atsushi Inoue , James Nason and Barbara Rossi 07-03: Do Vanguard's Managed Funds Beat Its Index Funds? Looking for Prescient Stock and Style Selection Draft 1
Abel Rodriguez and Edward Tower 07-01: Are GMO's Predictions Prescient? Using them to predict Vanguard's Mutual Fund Returns
Edward Tower 06-04: Asymptotic Properties for a Class of Partially Identified Models
Arie Beresteanu and Francesca Molinari 06-03: Impulse Response Confidence Intervals for Persistent Data: What Have We Learned?
Elena Pesavento and Barbara Rossi 06-02: Supermarket Pricing Strategies
Paul Ellickson and Sanjog Misra 06-01: Detecting and Predicting Forecast Breakdowns
Barbara Rossi and Raffaella Giacomini 05-12: Generating Value in Habitat-Dependent Fisheries: The Importance Of Fishery Management Institutions
Martin D. Smith 05-11: Public Information and Electoral Bias
Curtis R. Taylor and Huseyin Yildirim 05-10: Proposal Power and Majority Rule in Multilateral Bargaining with Costly Recognition
Huseyin Yildirim 05-09: Re-examining Voter Turnout in Large Elections
Curtis R. Taylor and Huseyin Yildirim 05-08: How Stable is the Forecasting Performance of the Yield Curve for Outpot Growth?
Barbara Rossi and Raffaella Giacomini 05-07: Disability Risk and Miraculous Recoveries in Russia
Charles M. Becker and Irina S. Merkuryeva 05-06: Child Nutrition in India in the Nineties: A Story of Increased Gender Inequality?
Alessandro Tarozzi and Aprajit Mahajan 05-05: Does Sutton Apply to Supermarkets?
Paul Ellickson 05-04: Supermarkets as a Natural Oligopoly
Paul Ellickson 05-03: Expectations Hypotheses Tests and Predictive Regressions at Long Horizons
Barbara Rossi 05-02: Monitoring and Forecasting Currency Crises
Atsushi Inoue and Barbara Rossi 05-01: How did the 2003 Prescription Drug Re-importation Bill Pass the House?
Edward Tower , Henry Grabowski , Omer Gokcekus and Mike Adams 04-08: Fidelity versus Vanguard: Comparing the Performance of the Two Largest Mutual Fund Families
Edward Tower and Wei Zheng 04-07: Index Fundamentalism Revisited
Edward Tower and Kenneth S. Reinker 04-06: Nonparametric Estimation of Regression Functions under Restrictions on Partieal Derivatives
Arie Beresteanu 04-05: Efficient Allocations with Moral Hazard and Hidden Borrowing and Lending
Arpad J. Abraham and Nicola Pavoni 03-24: Recursive Predictability Tests for Real-Time Data
Barbara Rossi and Atsushi Inoue 03-23: Do Technology Shocks Drive Hours Up or Down? A Little Evidence from an Agnostic Procedure
Barbara Rossi and Elena Pesavento 03-19: Small Sample Confidence Intervals for Multivariate Impulse Response Functions at Long Horizons
Barbara Rossi and Elena Pesavento 03-11: Open Access with Product and Labor Market Failure: The Case of Artisanal Fishing in Indonesia
Christopher Liese , Martin D. Smith and Randall Kramer 03-10: Privacy in Competitive Markets
Curtis R. Taylor 03-08: Sweetening the Pot: How American Sugar Buys Protection
Omer Gokcekus , Justin Knowles and Edward Tower 03-07: Index Fundamentalism Revisited
Kenneth S. Reinker and Edward Tower 03-06: The Outbreak of the Cost Disease: Baumol and Bowen and the Modern Case for the Arts
Gregory Besharov 03-05: An Optimal Shape of Income Tax: Evidence from Zero Income Tax Countries - Paraguay & Uruguay
Arie Beresteanu 03-04: Managing Switching Costs in Multiperiod Procurements with Strategic Buyers
Tracy R. Lewis and Huseyin Yildirim 03-03: Reconsidering the Experimental Evidence for Quasi-Hyperbolic Discounting
Gregory Besharov and Bentley Coffey 03-02: Price Experimentation with Strategic Buyers
Oksana Loginova and Curtis R. Taylor 03-01: An Efficiency Enhancing Minimum Wage
Omer Gokcekus and Edward Tower 02-35: Sequential Procurement of a Long-Term Project
Huseyin Yildirim 02-34: Seeking Lobbying Rents
Gregory Besharov 02-33: RULES FOR AN EMERGENT MARKET: Selling paintings in late seventeenth-century London
Neil De Marchi 02-32: Inefficient Local Regulation of Local Externalities
Gregory Besharov and Ari Zweiman 02-31: Is Talk Cheap? Buying Congressional Testimony with Campaign Contributions
Ryan Gibbs , Omer Gokcekus and Edward Tower 02-30: Living Rationally Under the Volcano?
Peter Arcidiacono , Holger Sieg and Frank Allen Sloan 02-29: Rational Pessimism: Predicting Equity Returns using Tobin's q and Price/Earnings Ratios
Matthew Harney and Edward Tower 02-28: Patents, Innovation and Access to New Pharmaceuticals
Henry Grabowski 02-27: School Choice: Money, Race And Congressional Voting Behavior
Joshua J. Phillips , Omer Gokcekus and Edward Tower 02-26: Ability Sorting and the Returns to College Major
Peter Arcidiacono
09-02 
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