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Working Papers
from Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee Studienzentrum Gerzensee, Postfach 21, 3115 Gerzensee. Series data maintained by Yves Ortiz ().
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08.01: Are Spectral Estimators Useful for Implementing Long-Run Restrictions in SVARs?
Elmar Mertens
07.05: Population Ageing, Government Budgets, and Productivity Growth in Politico-Economic Equilibrium
Martín Gonzales-Eiras and Dirk Niepelt
07.04: How does private foreign borrowing affect the risk of sovereign default in developing countries?
Oya Celasun and Philipp Harms
07.03: Words, deeds, and outcomes: A survey on the growth effects of exchange rate regimes
Philipp Harms and Marco Kretschmann
07.02: The Future of Social Security
Martin Gonzalez-Eiras and Dirk Niepelt
07.01: Random Walk Expectations and the Forward Discount Puzzle
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
06.04: Predictability in Financial Markets: What Do Survey Expectations Tell Us?
Philippe Bacchetta , Elmar Mertens and Eric van Wincoop
06.03: The Stability Pact - Rationales, Problems, Alternatives
Assar Lindbeck and Dirk Niepelt
06.02: Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development
Philippe Aghion , Philippe Bacchetta , Romain Ranciere and Kenneth Rogoff
06.01: Financing Government Expenditures Optimally
Pınar Ayşe Yeşin
05.05: Puzzling Comovements between Output and Interest Rates? Multiple Shocks are the Answer
Elmar Mertens
05.04: Starving the Beast? Intra-Generational Conflict and Balanced Budget Rules
Dirk Niepelt
05.03: Incomplete Information Processing: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
05.02: Shock Identification of Macroeconomic Forecasts based on Daily Panels
Marlene Amstad and Andreas Fischer
05.01: Measuring Income Elasticity for Swiss Money Demand: What do the cantons say about financial innovation?
Andreas Fischer
04.07: Timing Tax Evasion
Dirk Niepelt
04.06: Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment
Andreas Fischer and Marlene Amstad
04.05: Foreign aid and developing countries' creditworthiness
Philipp Harms and Michael Rauber
04.04: Price Clustering in the FX Market: A Disaggregate Analysis using Central Bank Interventions
Andreas Fischer
04.03: Higher Order Expectations in Asset Pricing
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
04.02: Tax Collection Costs, Tax Evasion and Optimal Interest Rates
Pınar Ayşe Yeşin
04.01: A Scapegoat Model of Exchange Rate Fluctuations
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
03.07: Optimal Cyclical Monetary Policy: Does Steady-State Inflation Matter?
Samuel Reynard
03.06: Reuters News Reports versus Official Interventions: A Cautionary Warning
Andreas Fischer
03.05: The New Basel Accord: Implications of the Co-existence between the Standardized Approach and the Internal Ratings-based Approach
Bertrand Rime
03.04: Aid, Governance, and Private Foreign Investment: Some Puzzling Findings and a Possible Explanation
Philipp Harms and Matthias Lutz
03.03: Understanding Reserve Volatility in Emerging Markets: A Look at the Long-Run
Ricarda Demarmels and Andreas Fischer
03.02: Can Information Heterogeneity Explain the Exchange Rate Determination Puzzle?
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
03.01: Fixing Swiss Potholes: The Importance and Cyclical Nature of Improvements
Michael J. Dueker and Andreas Fischer
02.08: Product Market Deregulation and Labor Market Outcomes
Monique Ebell and Christian Haefke
02.07: Deregulation and the Current Account
Philipp Harms
02.06: Growing into and out of Social Conflict
Philipp Harms and Stefan Zink
02.05: Why Do Consumer Prices React less than Import Prices to Exchange Rates?
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
02.04: The Relationship between Risk and Capital in Swiss commercial Banks: A Panel Study
Robert Bichsel and Jürg Blum
02.03: Fluctuations in the Swiss Franc: What has Changed Since the Euro's Introduction?
Andreas Fischer
02.02: Understanding Reserve Volatility in Emerging Markets: A Look at the Last Thirty Years
Ricarda Demarmels and Andreas Fischer
02.01: Stochastic Capital Depreciation and the Comovement of Hours and Productivity
Michael J. Dueker , Andreas Fischer and Robert D. Dittmar
01.07: A Theory of the Currency Denomination of International Trade
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
01.06: Do Depositors Discipline Swiss Banks?
Urs W. Birchler and Andréa M. Maechler
01.05: A corporate Balance-Sheet Approach to Currency Crises
Philippe Aghion , Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee
01.04: Bank Integration and Business Volatility in the U.S
Donald P. Morgan , Bertrand Rime and Philip Strahan
01.03: The Performance of Universal Banks: Evidence from Switzerland
Bertrand Rime and Kevin Stiroh
01.02: The Mechanics of a successful Exchange-Rate Peg: Lessons from Emerging Markets
Michael J. Dueker and Andreas Fischer
01.01: Why are Asset Returns More Volatile during Recessions? A Theoretical Explanation
Monique Ebell
00.14: Are banks excessively monitored?
Urs W. Birchler
00.13: Financial Development and Stock Market performance
Harris Dellas and Martin K. Hess
00.12: Alternative Indicator of Moneary Policy for a Small Open Economy
Nicolas Alexis Cuche
00.11: Trade Flows, Prices, and The Exchange Rate Regime
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
00.10: Monetary policy with forward-looking rules: The Swiss case
Nicolas Alexis Cuche
00.09: The Politics of Trade Liberalization in the Presence of FDI Incentives
Andréa M. Maechler
00.08: The Limits of Market Discipline in Reducing Banks' Risk Taking
Jürg Blum
00.07: Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in an Economy with Credit Constraints
Philippe Aghion , Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee
00.06: Financial Development and the Sensitivity of Stock Markets to External Influences
Harris Dellas and Martin K. Hess
00.05: Bank Capital Behaviour: Empirical Evidence for Switzerland
Bertrand Rime
00.04: Do Interventions Smooth Interest Rates?
Andreas Fischer
00.03: Monetary Policy with Foreign Currency Debt
Philippe Bacchetta
00.02: The UBS-SBC Merger and Competition in the Swiss Retail Banking Sector
Dominik Egli and Bertrand Rime
00.01: Bankruptcy Priority for Bank Deposits: a Contract Theoretic Explanation
Urs W. Birchler
99.06: Estimating The Term Structure of Interest Rates: The Swiss Case
Iwan Meier
99.05: A Simple Model of Monetary Pollicy and Currency Crises
Philippe Aghion , Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee
99.04: Trade Credit and the Bank Lending Channel
Jeffrey H. Nilsen
99.03: Modering Financial Fragility In Transition Economies
Jeffrey H. Nilsen and Riccardo Rovelli
99.02: Estimating Monthly GDP In A General Kalman Filter Framework: Evidence From Switzerland
Nicolas Alexis Cuche and Martin K. Hess
99.01 update: Capital Markets and the Instability of Open Economies
Philippe Aghion , Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee
99.01: Capital Markets and the Instability of Open Economies
Philippe Aghion , Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee
98.04: Does Exchange Rate Stability Increase Trade and Capital Flows?
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
98.03: Why did Czech Banks Switch From Loans in 1995?
Jeffrey H. Nilsen
98.02: Financial Liberalization and Volatility in Emerging Market Economies
Philippe Aghion , Philippe Bacchetta and Abhijit Banerjee
98.01: Capital flows to Emerging Markets: Liberalization, Overshooting, and Volatility
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop