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Details about John Fernald

E-mail:
Homepage:http://www.frbsf.org/economics/economists/jfernald.html
Phone:(415)974-2135
Postal address:Research Department 11th Floor Mail Stop 1130 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco 101 Market St San Francisco, CA 94105
Workplace:Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by John Fernald.

Last updated 2013-01-19. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pfe43


Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2014

  1. Labor markets in the global financial crisis: the good, the bad and the ugly
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads
  2. Monetary Policy Effectiveness in China: Evidence from a FAVAR Model
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2014) Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (1)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2012) Downloads View citations (1)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2014) Downloads View citations (1)

    See also Chapter (2014)
  4. The Future of U.S. Economic Growth
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2014) Downloads

2012

  1. A quarterly, utilization-adjusted series on total factor productivity
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (16)

2011

  1. What Happens when Technology Improves?
    2011 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics Downloads

2010

  1. Growth Accounting with Misallocation: Or, Doing Less with More in Singapore
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2010) Downloads View citations (1)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2006) Downloads View citations (1)
    2006 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2006) View citations (3)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (2003) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics (2011)

2009

  1. What do we know and not know about potential output?
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Review (2009)

2008

  1. A General-Equilibrium Asset-Pricing Approach to the Measurement of Nominal and Real Bank Output
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston (2004) Downloads View citations (4)

    See also Chapter (2009)

2006

  1. Flying geese or sitting ducks: China’s impact on the trading fortunes of other Asian economies
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (8)
  2. Information and communications technology as a general-purpose technology: evidence from U.S industry data
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Review (2008)
  3. Trend Breaks, Long-Run Restrictions and the Contractionary Effects of Technology Improvements
    CEPR Discussion Papers, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers Downloads View citations (7)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (2005) Downloads View citations (5)

2005

  1. New Evidence on Durable Goods Biased Technological Change
    2005 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics
    Also in 2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics (2004)

2004

  1. Are Technology Improvements Contractionary?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (92)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (2004) Downloads View citations (49)
    Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research (2002) Downloads View citations (62)
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1998) Downloads View citations (69)

    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2006)
  2. Trend Breaks, Long Run Restrictions, and the Contractionary Effects of Technology Shocks
    2004 Meeting Papers, Society for Economic Dynamics View citations (22)

2003

  1. China and emerging Asia: comrades or competitors?
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Downloads View citations (30)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (2003) Downloads View citations (37)
  2. The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth: Or, Does Information Technology Explain why Productivity Accelerated in the US but not the UK?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (35)
  3. The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth: Or, Does Information technology explain why productivity accelerated in the United States but not the United Kingdom?
    Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research Downloads View citations (29)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (2003) Downloads View citations (45)

2001

  1. Productivity Growth in the 1990s: Technology, Utilization, or Adjustment?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (30)
    Also in Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (2001) Downloads View citations (22)

    See also Journal Article in Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy (2001)

2000

  1. Puzzles in the Chinese stock market
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Downloads
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1998) Downloads View citations (14)

    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2002)
  2. Why Is Productivity Procyclical? Why Do We Care?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (20)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1999) Downloads View citations (50)
    Working Paper Series, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (2000) Downloads View citations (17)

    See also Chapter (2001)

1999

  1. Why has China survived the Asian crisis so well? What risks remain?
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (13)

1998

  1. Was China the first domino? assessing links between China and the rest of emerging Asia
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (29)

1997

  1. Aggregate productivity and aggregate technology
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (35)
    See also Journal Article in European Economic Review (2002)
  2. Roads to prosperity? assessing the link between public capital and productivity
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (15)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (1999)

1996

  1. Returns to scale in U.S. production: estimates and implications
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (122)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (1997)

1995

  1. Aggregate Productivity and the Productivity of Aggregates
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (24)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1995) Downloads View citations (27)
  2. Are Apparent Productive Spillovers a Figment of Specification Error?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (21)
    Also in International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) (1994) Downloads View citations (7)
    Working Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory (1993) View citations (4)

    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (1995)

1994

  1. Constant returns and small markups in U.S. manufacturing
    International Finance Discussion Papers, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) Downloads View citations (31)
    Also in Working Papers, Michigan - Center for Research on Economic & Social Theory (1993) View citations (26)

Journal Articles

2014

  1. Has China’s economy become more “standard”?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014 Downloads
  2. Interpreting deviations from Okun’s Law
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2014 Downloads View citations (2)

2013

  1. Labor markets in the global financial crisis
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2013 Downloads View citations (1)

2011

  1. Growth Accounting with Misallocation: Or, Doing Less with More in Singapore
    American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2011, 3, (2), 29-74 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2010)
  2. What is the value of bank output?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, (may16) Downloads View citations (1)

2009

  1. Growth accounting, potential output, and the current recession
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2009, (aug17) Downloads View citations (1)
  2. What do we know (and not know) about potential output?
    Review, 2009, (Jul), 187-214 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2009)

2008

  1. Information and communications technology as a general purpose technology: evidence from U.S. industry data
    Economic Review, 2008, 1-15 Downloads View citations (2)
    Also in German Economic Review, 2007, 8, 146-173 (2007) Downloads View citations (19)

    See also Working Paper (2006)

2007

  1. Financial innovations and the real economy: conference summary
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2007, (mar2) Downloads
  2. Trend breaks, long-run restrictions, and contractionary technology improvements
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (8), 2467-2485 Downloads View citations (33)
  3. Will fast productivity growth persist?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2007, (apr6) Downloads View citations (4)

2006

  1. Are Technology Improvements Contractionary?
    American Economic Review, 2006, 96, (5), 1418-1448 Downloads View citations (167)
    See also Working Paper (2004)
  2. Is a recession imminent?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2006, (nov24) Downloads

2005

  1. Shifting data: a challenge for monetary policymakers
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (dec9) Downloads
  2. Why hasn't the jump in oil prices led to a recession?
    FRBSF Economic Letter, 2005, (nov18) Downloads View citations (2)

2004

  1. Comrades or competitors? on trade relationships between China and emerging Asia
    Chicago Fed Letter, 2004, (Mar) Downloads View citations (7)
  2. The acceleration in U.S. total productivity after 1995: the role of information technology
    Economic Perspectives, 2004, (Q I), 52-67 Downloads

2003

  1. Information technology and the U.S. productivity acceleration
    Chicago Fed Letter, 2003, (Sep) Downloads

2002

  1. Aggregate productivity and aggregate technology
    European Economic Review, 2002, 46, (6), 963-991 Downloads View citations (74)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  2. Puzzles In The Chinese Stock Market
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2002, 84, (3), 416-432 Downloads View citations (37)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2001

  1. Countering contagion: Does China's experience offer a blueprint?
    Economic Perspectives, 2001, (Q IV), 38-52 Downloads View citations (4)
  2. Productivity growth in the 1990s: technology, utilization, or adjustment?
    Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 2001, 55, (1), 117-165 Downloads View citations (20)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
  3. The fall and rise of the global economy
    Chicago Fed Letter, 2001, (Apr) Downloads

1999

  1. Roads to Prosperity? Assessing the Link between Public Capital and Productivity
    American Economic Review, 1999, 89, (3), 619-638 Downloads View citations (133)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  2. Was China the first domino? Assessing links between China and other Asian economies
    Journal of International Money and Finance, 1999, 18, (4), 515-535 Downloads View citations (40)

1997

  1. Returns to Scale in U.S. Production: Estimates and Implications
    Journal of Political Economy, 1997, 105, (2), 249-83 Downloads View citations (464)
    See also Working Paper (1996)

1995

  1. Are apparent productive spillovers a figment of specification error?
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 1995, 36, (1), 165-188 Downloads View citations (138)
    See also Working Paper (1995)

Chapters

2014

  1. Productivity and Potential Output Before, During, and After the Great Recession
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2014, Volume 29, 2014 Downloads View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (2014)

2009

  1. A General-Equilibrium Asset-Pricing Approach to the Measurement of Nominal and Real Bank Output
    A chapter in Price Index Concepts and Measurement, 2009, pp 273-320 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2008)

2004

  1. The Case of the Missing Productivity Growth, or Does Information Technology Explain Why Productivity Accelerated in the United States But Not in the United Kingdom?
    A chapter in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2003, Volume 18, 2004, pp 9-82 Downloads View citations (17)

2001

  1. Why Is Productivity Procyclical? Why Do We Care?
    A chapter in New Developments in Productivity Analysis, 2001, pp 225-302 Downloads View citations (13)
    See also Working Paper (2000)
 
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