Details about Andreas Graefe

Access statistics for papers by Andreas Graefe.

Last updated 2013-01-08. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pgr243

Working Papers

2009

1. Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

2008

2. Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues and Policies
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (1)

2007

3. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
   MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany View citations (2)
   See also Journal Article in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (2007)

Journal Articles

2012

1. The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2012, (24), 13-14

2011

2. Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task
   International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 183-195 View citations (2)
   Also in International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 183-195 (2011) View citations (1)
3. Conditions under which index models are useful: Reply to bio-index commentaries
   Journal of Business Research, 2011, 64, (7), 693-695
4. Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method
   Journal of Business Research, 2011, 64, (7), 699-706 View citations (2)
5. Prediction Markets and the “Trough of Disillusionment”
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2011, (23), 43-46

2010

6. Are Prediction Markets More Accurate than Simple Surveys?
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2010, (19), 39-43
7. Prediction Markets for Forecasting Drug Development
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2010, (17), 8-12

2009

8. Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote
   Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2009, (12), 41-42

2008

9. Long-Term Forecasting with Prediction Markets - A Field Experiment on Applicability and Expert Confidence
   Journal of Prediction Markets, 2008, 2, (2), 71-91
10. Prediction Markets – Defining Events and Motivating Participation
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2008, (9), 30-32

2007

11. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2007, (8), 17-20 View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2007)