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Details about Andreas Graefe

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Homepage:http://www.andreas-graefe.org
Workplace:Institut für Kommunikationswissenschaft und Medienforschung, LMU München

Access statistics for papers by Andreas Graefe.

Last updated 2013-12-06. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pgr243


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Working Papers

2009

  1. Predicting Elections from Biographical Information about Candidates
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)

2008

  1. Forecasting Elections from Voters’ Perceptions of Candidates’ Positions on Issues and Policies
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (2)

2007

  1. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
    MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany Downloads View citations (5)
    See also Journal Article in Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting (2007)

Journal Articles

2013

  1. Combined Forecasts of the 2012 Election: The PollyVote
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2013, (28), 50-51 Downloads View citations (1)

2012

  1. The PollyVote’s Year-Ahead Forecast of the 2012 U.S. Presidential Election
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2012, (24), 13-14 Downloads

2011

  1. Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task
    International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 183-195 Downloads View citations (4)
    Also in International Journal of Forecasting, 2011, 27, (1), 183-195 (2011) Downloads View citations (3)
  2. Conditions under which index models are useful: Reply to bio-index commentaries
    Journal of Business Research, 2011, 64, (7), 693-695 Downloads View citations (1)
  3. Predicting elections from biographical information about candidates: A test of the index method
    Journal of Business Research, 2011, 64, (7), 699-706 Downloads View citations (2)
  4. Prediction Markets and the “Trough of Disillusionment”
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2011, (23), 43-46 Downloads

2010

  1. Are Prediction Markets More Accurate than Simple Surveys?
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2010, (19), 39-43 Downloads
  2. Prediction Markets for Forecasting Drug Development
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2010, (17), 8-12 Downloads

2009

  1. Combined Forecasts of the 2008 Election: The Pollyvote
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2009, (12), 41-42 Downloads View citations (1)

2008

  1. Long-Term Forecasting with Prediction Markets - A Field Experiment on Applicability and Expert Confidence
    Journal of Prediction Markets, 2008, 2, (2), 71-91 Downloads
  2. Prediction Markets – Defining Events and Motivating Participation
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2008, (9), 30-32 Downloads

2007

  1. Methods to Elicit Forecasts from Groups: Delphi and Prediction Markets Compared
    Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2007, (8), 17-20 Downloads View citations (2)
    See also Working Paper (2007)
 
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