Details about Robert Moffitt

E-mail:
Homepage:	http://www.econ.jhu.edu/People/Moffitt
Phone:	410-516-7611
Postal address:	Department of Economics Johns Hopkins University 3400 N. Charles Street Baltimore, MD 21218
Workplace:	Department of Economics, Johns Hopkins University, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Robert Moffitt.

Last updated 2012-08-20. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pmo48

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Working Papers

2012

1. The U.S. Employment-Population Reversal in the 2000s: Facts and Explanations
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2011

2. An Assessment of the Effectiveness of Anti-Poverty Programs in the United States
   Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics View citations (1)
   Also in Mathematica Policy Research Reports, Mathematica Policy Research (2011)
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2011)
3. Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings in the U.S., 1970-2004
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
   Also in Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics (2008) View citations (6)
   Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics (2011)

2009

4. Trends in the Level and Distribution of Income Support
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
   See also Chapter (2010)

2008

5. Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings in the U.S., 1991-2003: Preliminary Evidence from LEHD data
   Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics View citations (2)
6. Welfare reform: the US experience
   Working Paper Series, IFAU - Institute for Evaluation of Labour Market and Education Policy

2007

7. Estimating Marginal Returns to Higher Education in the UK
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (1)

2006

8. Handedness and Earnings
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (5)
   Also in Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics (2004) View citations (5)
9. Welfare Work Requirements with Paternalistic Government Preferences
   NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (9)
   Also in Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics (2006) View citations (9)
   See also Journal Article in Economic Journal (2006)

2003

10. The Negative Income Tax and the Evolution of U.S. Welfare Policy
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (23)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Economic Perspectives (2003)
11. The Role of Non-Financial Factors in Exit and Entry in the TANF Program
    Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics View citations (2)
12. The Role of Randomized Field Trials in Social Science Research: A Perspective from Evaluations of Reforms of Social Welfare Programs
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (7)
    Also in CeMMAP working papers, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies (2002)

2002

13. Economic Effects of Means-Tested Transfers in the U.S
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
    Also in Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics (2001) View citations (1)
    See also Chapter (2002)
14. Milton Friedman, the Negative Income Tax, and the Evolution of US Welfare Policy
    Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics
15. The Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Program
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (24)
    Also in Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics (2001) View citations (9)
    See also Chapter (2003)
16. Welfare Programs and Labor Supply
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (32)
    See also Chapter (2002)

2001

17. Changing Caseloads: Macro Influences and Micro Composition
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (6)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Policy Review (2001)
18. Productivity Growth and the Phillips Curve
    Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics View citations (64)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (2001) View citations (71)

2000

19. Taxation and the Labor Supply - Decisions of the Affluent
    Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics View citations (53)
    Also in NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc (1998) View citations (7)
20. Welfare Benefits and Female Headship in US Time Series
    Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics View citations (4)
    Also in Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (2)
    See also Journal Article in American Economic Review (2000)

1999

21. Demographic Change and Public Assistance Programs
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
22. The Decline of Welfare Benefits in the U.S.: The Role of Wage Inequality
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    Also in Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics (1998) View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Public Economics (1998)
23. The Effect of Pre-PRWORA Waivers on AFDC Caseloads and Female Earnings, Income, and Labor Force Behavior
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (25)
24. Time Limits
    JCPR Working Papers, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research View citations (7)

1998

25. An Analysis of Sample Attrition in Panel Data: The Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (105)
    Also in Economics Working Paper Archive, The Johns Hopkins University,Department of Economics (1998) View citations (107)
    Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics (1997) View citations (1)
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (138)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Human Resources (1998)
26. Job Instability and Insecurity for Males and Females in the 1980s and 1990s
    Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics
27. The Dynamics of Food Stamp Program Participation in the Early 1990s
    Mathematica Policy Research Reports, Mathematica Policy Research View citations (1)
28. Trends in the Variances of Permanent and Transitory Earnings in the U.S. and Their Relation to Earnings Mobility
    Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics View citations (4)

1997

29. An Analysis of the Impact of Sample Attrition on the Second Generation of Respondents in the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics
    Boston College Working Papers in Economics, Boston College Department of Economics View citations (18)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Human Resources (1998)
30. Tax Rates and Work Incentives in the Social Security Disability Insurance Program: Current Law and Alternative Reforms
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    Also in Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty

1996

31. Selection Bias Adjustment in Treatment-Effect Models as a Method of Aggregation
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (2)

1995

32. A Structural Model of Multiple Welfare Program Participation and Labor Supply
    Working Papers, Brown University, Department of Economics View citations (13)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis (1995) View citations (2)
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty
    See also Journal Article in International Economic Review (1998)

1992

33. The Estimation of Food Stamp Self Selection Models using the Method of Simulation
    Mathematica Policy Research Reports, Mathematica Policy Research

1991

34. Framework for Analysis of Female Paid Labor; Supply in Islamic Emena Countries
    Center for Development Economics, Department of Economics, Williams College

1990

35. An Estimate of a Sectoral Model of Labor Mobility
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (20)
    Also in Working Papers, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University (1988)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Political Economy (1990)
36. The Effect of the Medicaid Program on Welfare Participation and Labor Supply
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (1992)

1988

37. Has State Redistribution Policy Grown More Conservative?
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (4)
38. Variable Earnings and Nonlinear Taxation
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Human Resources (1987)

1983

39. The Effect of Ignoring Heteroscedasticity on Estimates of the Tobit Model
    NBER Technical Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (3)

Undated

40. Beyond single mothers: Cohabition, marriage, and the U.S. welfare system
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (11)
41. Explaining Welfare Reform: Public Choice and the Labor Market
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty
    See also Journal Article in International Tax and Public Finance (1999)
42. State AFDC rules regarding the treatment of cohabitors: 1993
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (3)
43. The Effect of Welfare on Marriage and Fertility: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know?
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (8)
44. The effect of work and training programs on entry and exit from the welfare caseload
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (2)
45. The effectiveness of financial work incentives in DI and SSI: Lessons from other transfer programs
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (1)
46. Trends in the covariance structure of earnings in the United States: 1969-1987
    Institute for Research on Poverty Discussion Papers, University of Wisconsin Institute for Research on Poverty View citations (10)

Journal Articles

2012

1. Trends in the Transitory Variance of Male Earnings: Methods and Evidence
   Journal of Human Resources, 2012, 47, (1), 204-236

2011

2. Front Matter and Editor's Note
   American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (1), i-i
3. Report of the Editor: American Economic Review (with Appendix by Philip J. Glandon)
   American Economic Review, 2011, 101, (3), 684-93
4. Trends in the covariance structure of earnings in the U.S.: 1969–1987
   Journal of Economic Inequality, 2011, 9, (3), 439-459 View citations (1)

2010

5. Report of the Editor: American Economic Review
   American Economic Review, 2010, 100, (2), 667-76
   Also in American Economic Review, 2008, 98, (2), 581-90 (2008)

2009

6. FOOD STAMPS, TEMPORARY ASSISTANCE FOR NEEDY FAMILIES AND FOOD HARDSHIPS IN THREE AMERICAN CITIES
   Pacific Economic Review, 2009, 14, (4), 445-473 View citations (4)
7. Papers and Proceedings of the One Hundred Twenty-First Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association: Editors' Introduction
   American Economic Review, 2009, 99, (2), viii-viii View citations (1)
8. The Rising Instability of U.S. Earnings
   Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2009, 23, (4), 3-24 View citations (11)

2008

9. Estimating Marginal Treatment Effects in Heterogeneous Populations
   Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, 2008, (91-92), 239-261

2006

10. Welfare work Requirements with Paternalistic Government Preferences
    Economic Journal, 2006, 116, (515), F441-F458 View citations (9)
    See also Working Paper (2006)

2005

11. Does it pay to move from welfare to work? A comment on Danziger, Heflin, Corcoran, Oltmans, and Wang
    Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 2005, 24, (2), 399-409 View citations (2)
12. Remarks on the analysis of causal relationships in population research
    Demography, 2005, 42, (1), 91-108 View citations (3)

2004

13. Introduction to the Symposium on the Econometrics of Matching
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2004, 86, (1), 1-3 View citations (10)

2003

14. Causal Analysis in Population Research: An Economist's Perspective
    Population and Development Review, 2003, 29, (3), 448-458 View citations (8)
15. Special issue on empirical analysis of social interactions
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2003, 18, (5), 499-499 View citations (2)
16. The Negative Income Tax and the Evolution of U.S. Welfare Policy
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2003, 17, (3), 119-140 View citations (23)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2002

17. Trends in the Transitory Variance of Earnings in the United States
    Economic Journal, 2002, 112, (478), C68-C73 View citations (72)

2001

18. A. B. Atkinson, The Economic Consequences of Rolling Back the Welfare State
    Journal of Comparative Economics, 2001, 29, (2), 386-388
19. Changing caseloads: macro influences and micro composition
    Economic Policy Review, 2001, (Sep), 37-51 View citations (6)
    See also Working Paper (2001)
20. Estimations of Limited Dependent Variable Models with Dummy Endogenous Regressors: Simple Strategies for Empirical Practice: Comment
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2001, 19, (1), 20-23 View citations (13)
21. Introduction to the Journal of Human Resources Special Issue on Data Quality
    Journal of Human Resources, 2001, 36, (3), 413-415
22. Welfare reform four years later: progress and prospects - summary of observations and recommendations
    Economic Policy Review, 2001, (Sep), 3-5

2000

23. Welfare Benefits and Female Headship in U.S. Time Series
    American Economic Review, 2000, 90, (2), 373-377 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

1999

24. Changes in Job Instability and Insecurity Using Monthly Survey Data
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1999, 17, (4), S91-126 View citations (27)
25. Explaining Welfare Reform: Public Choice and the Labor Market
    International Tax and Public Finance, 1999, 6, (3), 289-315 View citations (4)
    See also Working Paper

1998

26. A Structural Model of Multiple Welfare Program Participation and Labor Supply
    International Economic Review, 1998, 39, (3), 553-89 View citations (165)
    See also Working Paper (1995)
27. An Analysis of Sample Attrition in Panel Data: The Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics
    Journal of Human Resources, 1998, 33, (2), 251-299 View citations (100)
    See also Working Paper (1998)
28. An Analysis of the Impact of Sample Attrition on the Second Generation of Respondents in the Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics
    Journal of Human Resources, 1998, 33, (2), 300-344 View citations (18)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
29. Beyond single mothers: Cohabitation and marriage in the AFDC program
    Demography, 1998, 35, (3), 259-278 View citations (19)
30. The decline of welfare benefits in the U.S.: the role of wage inequality
    Journal of Public Economics, 1998, 68, (3), 421-452 View citations (11)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

1996

31. The effect of employment and training programs on entry and exit from the welfare caseload
    Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1996, 15, (1), 32-50 View citations (21)

1995

32. Cohort trends in the lifetime distribution of female family headship in the United States, 1968–1985
    Demography, 1995, 32, (3), 407-424 View citations (1)
33. Erratum to: Cohort Trends in the Lifetime Distribution of Female Family Headship in the U.S., 1968–1985
    Demography, 1995, 32, (4), n1-n1
34. Estimating Dynamic Models of Quit Behavior: The Case of Military Reenlistment
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1995, 13, (3), 499-523 View citations (14)

1994

35. The Growth of Earnings Instability in the U.S. Labor Market
    Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1994, 25, (2), 217-272 View citations (188)
36. Welfare Dependence: Concepts, Measures, and Trends
    American Economic Review, 1994, 84, (2), 38-42 View citations (18)
37. Welfare Effects on Female Headship with Area Effects
    Journal of Human Resources, 1994, 29, (2) View citations (41)

1993

38. Identification and estimation of dynamic models with a time series of repeated cross-sections
    Journal of Econometrics, 1993, 59, (1-2), 99-123 View citations (63)

1992

39. Incentive Effects of the U.S. Welfare System: A Review
    Journal of Economic Literature, 1992, 30, (1), 1-61 View citations (259)
40. The Effect of the Medicaid Program on Welfare Participation and Labor Supply
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1992, 74, (4), 615-26 View citations (42)
    See also Working Paper (1990)

1991

41. A New Index to Value In-Kind Benefits
    Review of Income and Wealth, 1991, 37, (4), 387-408 View citations (8)

1990

42. An Estimate of a Sectoral Model of Labor Mobility
    Journal of Political Economy, 1990, 98, (4), 827-52 View citations (36)
    See also Working Paper (1990)
43. Introduction
    Journal of Human Resources, 1990, 25, (3), 313-316
44. The Dynamics of Job Separation: The Case of Federal Employees
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1990, 5, (3), 245-62 View citations (3)
45. The Dynamics of Job Separation: The Case of the Federal Employees: Reply
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1990, 5, (3), 269-72 View citations (2)
46. The Econometrics of Kinked Budget Constraints
    Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1990, 4, (2), 119-39 View citations (45)
47. The effect of the U.S. welfare system on marital status
    Journal of Public Economics, 1990, 41, (1), 101-124 View citations (22)

1989

48. Demographic Behavior and the Welfare State: Econometric Issues in the Identification of the Effects of Tax and Transfer Programs
    Journal of Population Economics, 1989, 1, (4), 237-50 View citations (3)
49. Estimating the Value of an In-Kind Transfer: The Case of Food Stamps
    Econometrica, 1989, 57, (2), 385-409 View citations (28)

1988

50. Real Wages over the Business Cycle: Estimating the Impact of Heterogeneity with Micro Data
    Journal of Political Economy, 1988, 96, (6), 1232-66 View citations (57)
51. The effect of food stamps on labor supply: A bivariate selection model
    Journal of Public Economics, 1988, 35, (1), 25-56 View citations (40)

1987

52. The Estimation of Wage Gains and Welfare Gains in Self-selection
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1987, 69, (1), 42-49 View citations (65)
53. Variable Earnings and Nonlinear Taxation
    Journal of Human Resources, 1987, 22, (3), 405-421 View citations (1)
    See also Working Paper (1988)

1986

54. The Econometrics of Piecewise-Linear Budget Constraints: A Survey and Exposition of the Maximum Likelihood Method
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 1986, 4, (3), 317-28 View citations (19)
55. The lagged effect of the 1981 federal AFDC legislation on work effort
    Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1986, 5, (3), 596-597
56. Work Incentives in the AFDC System: An Analysis of the 1981 Reforms
    American Economic Review, 1986, 76, (2), 219-23

1985

57. A problem with the negative income tax
    Economics Letters, 1985, 17, (3), 261-265 View citations (8)
58. Effective Tax Rates and Guarantees in the AFDC Program, 1967-1982
    Journal of Human Resources, 1985, 20, (2), 251-263 View citations (5)
59. The Joint Choice of Retirement Age and Postretirement Hours of Work
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1985, 3, (2), 209-36 View citations (48)
60. Unemployment insurance and the distribution of unemployment spells
    Journal of Econometrics, 1985, 28, (1), 85-101 View citations (137)

1984

61. Evaluating the effects of changes in AFDC: Methodological issues and challenges
    Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 1984, 4, (4), 537-553
62. Profiles of Fertility, Labour Supply and Wages of Married Women: A Complete Life-Cycle Model
    Review of Economic Studies, 1984, 51, (2), 263-78 View citations (17)
63. The Estimation of Fertility Equations on Panel Data
    Journal of Human Resources, 1984, 19, (1), 22-34
64. The Estimation of a Joint Wage-Hours Labor Supply Model
    Journal of Labor Economics, 1984, 2, (4), 550-66 View citations (54)
65. The effects of grants-in-aid on state and local expenditures: The case of AFDC
    Journal of Public Economics, 1984, 23, (3), 279-305 View citations (24)

1983

66. An Economic Model of Welfare Stigma
    American Economic Review, 1983, 73, (5), 1023-35 View citations (227)

1982

67. A Computationally Efficient Quadrature Procedure for the One-Factor Multinomial Probit Model
    Econometrica, 1982, 50, (3), 761-64 View citations (178)
68. The Effect of Unemployment Insurance on Unemployment: The Case of Federal Supplemental Benefits
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982, 64, (1), 1-11 View citations (48)
69. The Tobit Model, Hours of Work and Institutional Constraints
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1982, 64, (3), 510-15 View citations (13)

1981

70. Underreporting and Experimental Effects on Work Effort: Evidence from the Gary Income Maintenance Experiment
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1981, 63, (4), 581-89 View citations (8)

1980

71. Disequilibrium econometrics and non-linear budget constraints
    Economics Letters, 1980, 5, (1), 49-52
72. The Uses of Tobit Analysis
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1980, 62, (2), 318-21 View citations (183)

1979

73. Cumulative Effective Tax Rates and Guarantees in Low-Income Transfer Programs
    Journal of Human Resources, 1979, 14, (1), 122-129 View citations (2)
74. The Labor Supply Response in the Gary Experiment
    Journal of Human Resources, 1979, 14, (4), 477-487
75. The labor market replacement effect of a negative income tax
    Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 1979, 33, (1), 85-94

1977

76. Labor Supply and the Payroll Tax: Note
    American Economic Review, 1977, 67, (5), 1004-05

Books

2003

1. Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States
   NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc View citations (43)

Chapters

2010

1. Trends in the Level and Distribution of Income Support
   A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 24, 2010, pp 111-152 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper (2009)

2007

2. The Econometrics of Data Combination
   Chapter 75 in Handbook of Econometrics, 2007, vol. 6B View citations (17)

2003

3. Introduction to "Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States"
   A chapter in Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States, 2003, pp 1-14 View citations (12)
4. The Temporary Assistance for Needy Families Program
   A chapter in Means-Tested Transfer Programs in the United States, 2003, pp 291-364 View citations (20)
   See also Working Paper (2002)

2002

5. Economic Effects of Means-Tested Transfers in the U.S
   A chapter in Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 16, 2002, pp 1-36 View citations (1)
   See also Working Paper (2002)
6. Welfare programs and labor supply
   Chapter 34 in Handbook of Public Economics, 2002, vol. 4, pp 2393-2430 View citations (27)
   See also Working Paper (2002)

1999

7. New developments in econometric methods for labor market analysis
   Chapter 24 in Handbook of Labor Economics, 1999, vol. 3, Part A, pp 1367-1397 View citations (41)

1984

8. Trends in Social Security Wealth by Cohort
   A chapter in Economic Transfers in the United States, 1984, pp 327-358 View citations (4)