Forest Product Trade Impacts of an Invasive Species: Modeling Structure and Intervention Trade-Offs

Jeffrey P. Prestemon, Shushuai Zhu, James A. Turner, Joseph Buongiorno and Ruhong Li
Additional contact information
Jeffrey P. Prestemon: Southern Research Station, USDA Forest Service
Shushuai Zhu: University of Wisconsin
James A. Turner: New Zealand Forest Research Institute, Ltd.
Joseph Buongiorno: University of Wisconsin
Ruhong Li: University of Wisconsin

Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 2006, vol. 35, issue 1, pages 128–143

Abstract: Asian gypsy and nun moth introductions into the United States, possibly arriving on imported Siberian coniferous logs, threaten domestic forests and product markets and could have global market consequences. We simulate, using the Global Forest Products Model (a spatial equilibrium model of the world forest sector), the consequences under current policies of a wide-spread, successful pest invasion, and of plausible trading partner responses to the successful invasion. We find that trade liberalization would have a negligible effect on U.S. imports of Siberian logs and, consequently, on the risk of a pest invasion. But, if it happened, possibly through trade in other commodities, a successful and widespread pest invasion would have large effects on producers and consumers over the period 2002 to 2030.

Keywords: Asian gypsy moth; trade; invasive species; welfare; spatial equilibrium model (search for similar items in EconPapers)

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