Market Valuation and Risk Assessment of Canadian Banks

Ying Liu, Eli Papakirykos and Mingwei Yuan

Review of Applied Economics, 2006, vol. 2, issue 1

Abstract: This paper applies the asset valuation model developed by Rabinovitch (1989) to the six largest Canadian banks. The model is an extension of the Merton (1977a) option-pricing model with the incorporation of stochastic interest rates. We then introduce a measure of distance-to default, Z-score. Our results indicate that the market value of bank assets is almost always below its book value and that Canadian banks have a very low insolvency risk over time, except for 1982 and 1983. We also find that both the market valuation of the bank assets and the z-score of these Canadian banks demonstrate similar regime switches in the late 1990s, which may be related to regulatory changes during the 1990s.

Keywords: asset pricing; financial institution; Financial Economics; Risk and Uncertainty; G12; G21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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