Tariff Equivalent and Forgone Trade Effects of Prohibitive Technical Barriers to Trade

Chengyan Yue and John Beghin ()

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2009, vol. 91, issue 4, pages 930-941

Abstract: We derive a method to econometrically estimate the tariff equivalent and forgone trade effects of a prohibitive technical barrier to trade (TBT) based on Wales and Woodland's Kuhn-Tucker approach to corner solutions in consumer choice. The method overcomes the lack of observed data on bilateral trade flows and accounts for differentiated goods by place of origin. We apply the derived random utility model to international trade in apples to identify the tariff equivalent of prohibitive phytosanitary barriers imposed by Australia on potential imports of New Zealand apples. We estimate the forgone apple trade between the two countries, the implied trade injury imposed by Australia on New Zealand, and the welfare loss to Australia. The removal of the Australian policy would induce net welfare gains around US$50 million annually for Australia. Copyright Copyright 2009 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.

Date: 2009

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American Journal of Agricultural Economics is edited by Peter Berck, Robert J. Myers, Ian M. Sheldon and B. Wade Brorsen

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