Abstract:
An immortal, intertemporally optimizing consumer, who is ignorant of the link between bonds and future taxes, is exposed to the changing level of U.S. federal government debt over the thirty years, 1961-90. Estimates of the cost of ignorance are about $1 to $10 per annum. Provided governments do not use bond-financing too aggressively, it may therefore be privately optimal for consumers to ignore the link between bonds and future taxes. Then bond-financed fiscal policy has significant systematic effects on aggregate demand and national savings. Copyright 1997 by The Economic Society of Australia.