Corporate Growth and Profitability

Paul A. Geroski, Stephen Machin () and Chris Walters

Journal of Industrial Economics, 1997, vol. 45, issue 2, pages 171-89

Abstract: This paper argues that current period corporate growth rates reflect changes in current expectations about the long run profitability of a firm. This means that growth rates are likely to vary randomly over time. Using data from 271 large, quoted U.K. firms over the period 1976-82, the authors report the existence of a positive, statistically significant and robust correlation between current period growth rates and a natural measure of changes in current expectations about long run profitability, namely changes in the stock market valuation of the firm. Nevertheless, they find that variations in corporate growth rates are difficult to predict. Copyright 1997 by Blackwell Publishing Ltd

Date: 1997
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