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Keynesian Beauty Contest, Accounting Disclosure, and Market Efficiency

Pingyang Gao ()

Journal of Accounting Research, 2008, vol. 46, issue 4, pages 785-807

Abstract: ABSTRACTThis paper examines the market efficiency consequences of accounting disclosure in the context of stock markets as a Keynesian beauty contest, an influential metaphor originally proposed by Keynes [1936] and recently formalized by Allen, Morris, and Shin [2006]. In such markets, public information plays an additional commonality role, biasing stock prices away from the consensus fundamental value toward public information. Despite this bias, I demonstrate that provisions of public information always drive stock prices closer to the fundamental value. Hence, as a main source of public information, accounting disclosure enhances market efficiency, and transparency should not be compromised on grounds of the Keynesian-beauty-contest effect. Copyright (c), University of Chicago on behalf of the Institute of Professional Accounting, 2008.

Date: 2008
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