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Bootstrap-based bandwidth choice for log-periodogram regression

Josu Arteche and Jesus Orbe

Journal of Time Series Analysis, 2009, vol. 30, issue 6, pages 591-617

Abstract: The choice of the bandwidth in the local log-periodogram regression is of crucial importance for estimation of the memory parameter of a long memory time series. Different choices may give rise to completely different estimates, which may lead to contradictory conclusions, for example about the stationarity of the series. We propose here a data-driven bandwidth selection strategy that is based on minimizing a bootstrap approximation of the mean-squared error (MSE). Its behaviour is compared with other existing techniques for optimal bandwidth selection in a MSE sense, revealing its better performance in a wider class of models. The empirical applicability of the proposed strategy is shown with two examples: the widely analysed in a long memory context Nile river annual minimum levels and the input gas rate series of Box and Jenkins. Copyright 2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd

Date: 2009

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