UNIONS, FISCAL POLICY AND CENTRAL BANK TRANSPARENCY
Giuseppe Ciccarone,
Enrico Marchetti () and
Giovanni Di Bartolomeo ()
Manchester School, 2007, vol. 75, issue 5, pages 617-633
Abstract:
In a unionized economy with endogenous fiscal policy central bank transparency has two contrasting effects on wages, the relative strength of which determines the macroeconomic performance. This finding allows us to demonstrate that (i) if the central bank is populist the effect of transparency is negative, and (ii) if policy makers are sufficiently conservative and the government is active, transparency decreases inflation and unemployment, but opposite results apply if a populist government faces a tight fiscal constraint. Macroeconomic volatility disappears with full transparency and increases, in general, with opacity, but the relationship is hump-shaped when the central bank is strongly populist. Copyright © 2007 The Authors; Journal compilation © 2007 Blackwell Publishing Ltd and The University of Manchester.
Date: 2007
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Working Paper: Unions, fiscal policy and central bank transparency (2005) 
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