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MEAN-VARIANCE VERSUS FULL-SCALE OPTIMIZATION: BROAD EVIDENCE FOR THE UK

Björn Hagströmer, Richard G. Anderson, Jane M. Binner, Thomas Elger () and Birger Nilsson

Manchester School, 2008, vol. 76, issue s1, pages 134-156

Abstract: Portfolio choice by full-scale optimization applies the empirical return distribution to a parameterized utility function, and the maximum is found through numerical optimization. Using a portfolio choice setting of three UK equity indices we identify several utility functions featuring loss aversion and prospect theory, under which full-scale optimization is a substantially better approach than the mean-variance approach. As the equity indices have return distributions with small deviations from normality, the findings indicate much broader usefulness of full-scale optimization than has earlier been shown. The results hold in- and out-of-sample, and the performance improvements are given in terms of utility as well as certainty equivalents. Copyright © 2008 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2008 Blackwell Publishing Ltd and The University of Manchester.

Date: 2008

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