Abstract:
This paper tests the hypothesis that idiosyncratic U.S. disturbances and their international propagation can account for the global depression. Exploiting common stochastic trends in U.S. and Canadian interwar data, the authors estimate a small open economy model for Canada that decomposes output fluctuations into sources identifiable with world and country-specific disturbances. They find that the onset, depth, and duration of output collapse in both Canada and the United States are primarily attributable to a common, permanent output shock, leaving little significant role for idiosyncratic disturbances originating in either economy.
Canadian Journal of Economics is edited by David Green
More articles in Canadian Journal of Economics from Canadian Economics Association Address: Canadian Economics Association Prof. Steven Ambler, Secretary-Treasurer c/o Olivier Lebert, CEA/CJE/CPP Office C.P. 35006, 1221 Fleury Est Montréal, Québec, Canada H2C 3K4 Contact information at EDIRC. Series data maintained by Prof. Werner Antweiler ().
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