Abstract:
This paper considers nonstationary fractional autoregressive integrated moving-average (p,d,q) models with the fractionally differencing parameter d ( 1/2,1/2) and the autoregression function with roots on or outside the unit circle. Asymptotic inference is based on the conditional sum of squares (CSS) estimation. Under some suitable conditions, it is shown that CSS estimators exist and are consistent. The asymptotic distributions of CSS estimators are expressed as functions of stochastic integrals of usual Brownian motions. Unlike results available in the literature, the limiting distributions of various unit roots are independent of the parameter d over the entire range d ( 1/2,1/2). This allows the unit roots and d to be estimated and tested separately without loss of efficiency. Our results are quite different from the current asymptotic theories on nonstationary long memory time series. The finite sample properties are examined for two special cases through simulations.
More articles in Econometric Theory from Cambridge University Press Address: The Edinburgh Building, Shaftesbury Road, Cambridge CB2 2RU UK Series data maintained by Mike Eden ().
This site is part of RePEc
and all the data displayed here is part of the RePEc data set.
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to
contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .