India's Economic Growth History: Fluctuations, Trends, Break Points and Phases
Arvind Virmani Additional contact information Arvind Virmani: Director & CE, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, Core 6A, 4th Floor, India Habitat Center, Lodhi Road, New Delhi 110003, India
Abstract:
This paper reviews India's growth performance since independence. One of the innovations in this paper is to take explicit account of rainfall variations that play a very important role in the Indian economy. This allows us to determine whether the Indian economy has become less dependent on the monsoons ('drought proof'). It also allows a statistically more accurate determination of the different phases of Indian economic growth. These phases are linked to different policy regimes and therefore allow us to evaluate the impact of a set of policies on economic growth.