DECOMPOSING VIOLENCE: CRIME CYCLES IN THE TWENTIETH CENTURY IN THE UNITED STATES

Applied Econometrics and International Development, 2007, vol. 7, issue 1

Abstract: I apply the Beveridge-Nelson business cycle decomposition method to the time series of murder in the United States (1900-2004). Separating out “permanent” from “cyclical” murder, I hypothesize that the cyclical part coincides with documented waves of organized crime, internal tensions, breakdowns in social order, crime legislation, alternation in power, social, and political unrest overseas as wars, and recently with the periodic terrorist attacks in the country.

Keywords: United States; Colombia; murder, Beveridge-Nelson; business cycle; decomposition; time-series; domestic terrorism; cyclical terrorist murder; cyclical terrorist attacks, cyclical terrorist murder and attacks indicator. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C22 D74 H56 N46 K14 K42 N42 O51 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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