A censored stochastic volatility approach to the estimation of price limit moves

Hsieh, Ping-Hung and J. Jimmy Yang

Journal of Empirical Finance, 2009, vol. 16, issue 2, pages 337-351

Abstract: A censored stochastic volatility model is developed to reconstruct a return series censored by price limits, one popular form of market stabilization mechanisms. When price limits are reached, the observed prices are truncated and the equilibrium prices are unobservable, which makes further financial analyses difficult. The model offers theoretically sound estimates of censored returns and is demonstrated via simulations to outperform existing approaches with respect to the estimates of model parameters, unconditional means, and standard deviations. The algorithm is applied to model stock and futures returns and results are consistent with the simulation outcomes.

Keywords: Price; limits; Stochastic; volatility; Stock; markets; Futures; markets (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009

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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:empfin:v:16:y:2009:i:2:p:337-351

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Journal of Empirical Finance is edited by R. T. Baillie, G. Bekaert, W. Ferson, F. C. Palm, Th. J. Vermaelen and C. C. P. Wolff

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