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Voting about immigration policy: What does the Swiss experience tell us?

Florence Miguet ()

European Journal of Political Economy, 2008, vol. 24, issue 3, pages 628-641

Abstract: This paper draws on Swiss direct democracy to review the Swiss experience with immigration, which has been shaped strongly by regular voting on immigration policies. Relying on two unique post-vote data-sets on how Swiss citizens voted on initiatives directed at containing the proportion of foreigners in the population, we improve on past empirical evidence by by-passing the problem of "hypothetical bias" present in the analysis of conventional survey data. Controlling for the participation bias due to non-mandatory voting, we find evidence that the hypothetical bias hampering pre-vote surveys may be large but that turnout does not have a decisive influence on the outcome of a vote. Confirming political-economy predictions, education matters in the shaping of immigration preferences but non-economic arguments also play an important role.

Date: 2008
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European Journal of Political Economy is edited by J. De Haan, A. L. Hillman and H. W. Ursprung

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