Philip Arestis,
Iris Biefang-Frisancho,
Andrew Brown and
Malcolm Sawyer Additional contact information Andrew Brown: Leeds Univesrity
Malcolm Sawyer: Leeds Univesrity
Abstract:
This paper argues that the inception of the euro itself, with its restrictive monetarist institutional structures, to an area which is in a divergent state, which has recently been widened by a process of divergence, is ample reason for long term investors, and, indeed, post-"euphoric", short term speculators, to regard the euro area as structurally weaker since January 1999. It is difficult to predict the fixture course of the euro; once portfolio investors have shifted fully back to their pre-"euphoria" level of holdings of euros, then any number of contingencies may come into play.
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from Dr. Mary H. Lesser, Department of Economics, Iona College, New Rochelle, NY 10801-1890 http://www.iona.edu/eea/publications/subandmem.htm