Factionalsim, Violence and Bargaining in Civil Wars
Gordon H. McCormick () and
Guillermo Owen ()
Additional contact information Gordon H. McCormick: Department of Defense Analysis, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, USA
Guillermo Owen: Department of Mathematics, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, USA
Abstract:
We consider the problem of conflict resolution between a state and a sub-state challenger in a civil war. Until now, the literature on civil war bargaining has largely assumed that each side in the conflict negotiates as a unitary actor. The present paper extends our understanding of this problem by making the more realistic assumption that one or both sides enters the bargaining process as a heterogeneous actor, subject to competing internal perspectives on the value of negotiations. We find that the prospects for a settlement and the stability of any settlement that might be achieved are significantly complicated by the assumption of internal heterogeneity. We study the implications of this assumption for each side’s ability to attain a cooperative agreement and maintain that agreement in the face of violent opposition.
Date: 2004
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