It’s all about State Structure – New Findings on Revolutionary Origins from Global Data

Jack Goldstone (), Ted Gurr (), Monty Marshall () and Jay Ulfelder ()
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Jack Goldstone: School of Public Policy, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA
Ted Gurr: Dept. Government and Politics, University of Maryland, USA
Monty Marshall: Center for International Development and Conflict Management, University of Maryland, USA
Jay Ulfelder: Science Applications International Corp, McLean, VA, USA

Homo Oeconomicus, 2004, vol. 21, pages 429-455

Abstract: Revolutions have been attributed to economic failures, to the e?ects of modernization on autocracies, and to the vulnerability of certain regime types. Using global data from 1955 to 2001, this paper examines a wide range of political upheavals, and demonstrates that regime type is overwhelmingly the dominant factor behind revolutions, ethnic wars, and the overthrow of democratic regimes. However, the e?ect of regime type is not a simple function of the degree of democracy or autocracy. Rather, certain kinds of autocracies and democracies are highly unstable, while others kinds are stable, depending on the detailed institutions and nature of political participation under those regimes

Date: 2004
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hom:homoec:v:21:y:2004:p:429-455

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