Abstract:
Investing in a new perennial crop variety involves an irreversible commitment of capital and generates an uncertain return stream. As a result, the decision to adopt a new variety includes a significant real option value. Waiting for returns to rise above this real option causes a delay in adoption due to economic hysteresis. This study tests for hysteresis in wine grape-variety adoption using a sample of district-level data from the state of California. The empirical results show a significant hysteretic effect in wine grape investment, which may be reduced by activities that smooth earnings over time.
Journal of Agricultural & Applied Economics is edited by Jeffrey M. Gillespie
More articles in Journal of Agricultural & Applied Economics from Southern Agricultural Economics Association Address: Secretary/Treasurer, Dept. of Agricultural and Applied Economics, University of Georgia, Georgia Experiment Station, Griffin, Georgia 30223 Series data maintained by Chung L. Huang ().
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