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Journal of Forecasting
2001 - 2011
Edited by Derek W. Bunn
from John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
This journal is continued by Journal of Forecasting . Series data maintained by Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing ().
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Volume 24, issue 8 , 2005
Forecasting and signal extraction with misspecified models pp. 539-556
Tommaso Proietti
Forecasting in the presence of level shifts pp. 557-574
Aaron Smith
Nowcasting quarterly GDP growth in a monthly coincident indicator model pp. 575-592
Luis C. Nunes
Currency forecasting based on an error components-seemingly unrelated nonlinear regression model pp. 593-605
Winston T. Lin
Volume 24, issue 7 , 2005
Statistical surveillance of cyclical processes with application to turns in business cycles pp. 465-490
David Bock , Eva Andersson and Marianne Frisén
Forecasting euro area inflation using dynamic factor measures of underlying inflation pp. 491-503
George Kapetanios and Gonzalo Camba-Mendez
Development of a multifunctional sales response model with the diagnostic aid of artificial neural networks pp. 505-521
Derek W. Bunn and Stefania Pantelidaki
The multi-chain Markov switching model pp. 523-537
Edoardo Otranto
Volume 24, issue 6 , 2005
Stochastic models underlying Croston's method for intermittent demand forecasting pp. 389-402
Rob J Hyndman and Lydia Shenstone
Performance evaluation of neural network architectures: the case of predicting foreign exchange correlations pp. 403-420
Mark T. Leung and An-Sing Chen
A leading indicator approach to predicting short-term shifts in demand for business travel by air to and from the UK pp. 421-432
Nenad Njegovan
Evaluating forecasts: a look at aggregate bias and accuracy measures pp. 433-451
Dean W. Wichern and Benito E. Flores
A note on in-sample and out-of-sample tests for Granger causality pp. 453-464
Shiu-Sheng Chen
Volume 24, issue 5 , 2005
Political manoeuvrings as sources of measurement errors in forecasts pp. 311-324
Suzanna Maria Paleologou
Regional econometric income forecast accuracy pp. 325-333
Roberto Tinajero , Thomas Fullerton and Lawrence Waldman
A forecasting procedure for nonlinear autoregressive time series models pp. 335-351
Yuzhi Cai
Long-term sales forecasting using holt-winters and neural network methods pp. 353-368
Markos Papageorgiou , Apostolos Kotsialos and Antonios Poulimenos
Forecasting the dollar|euro exchange rate: are international parities useful? pp. 369-377
Emma García and Simon Sosvilla-Rivero
Identifying the time-effect factors of multiple time series pp. 379-387
Yu-pin Hu
Volume 24, issue 3 , 2005
Conditional volatility forecasting in a dynamic hedging model pp. 155-172
Michael S. Haigh
Testing and forecasting the degree of integration in the US inflation rate pp. 173-187
Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana
Beating the random walk in Central and Eastern Europe pp. 189-201
Jesus Crespo Cuaresma and Jaroslava Hlouskova
A common model approach to macroeconomics: using panel data to reduce sampling error pp. 203-219
William Thomas Gavin and Athena T. Theodorou
Predicting returns and volatility with macroeconomic variables: evidence from tests of encompassing pp. 221-231
Robert Sollis
Volume 24, issue 2 , 2005
Forecasting recessions using the yield curve pp. 77-103
Marcelle Chauvet and Simon Potter
Forecasting nonlinear time series with feed-forward neural networks: a case study of Canadian lynx data pp. 105-117
Yoshio Kajitani , A. Ian Mcleod and Keith W. Hipel
Forecast performance of nonlinear error-correction models with multiple regimes pp. 119-138
Zacharias Psaradakis and Fabio Spagnolo
Forecasting outcomes in spread betting markets: can bettors use 'quarbs' to beat the book? pp. 139-154
David Paton and Leighton Vaughan Williams
Volume 24, issue 1 , 2005
Forecasting time series with long memory and level shifts pp. 1-16
Philip Hans Franses and Namwon Hyung
Prediction intervals for exponential smoothing using two new classes of state space models pp. 17-37
Anne B. Koehler , Rob J Hyndman , Ralph David Snyder and Keith Ord
Forecasting stock prices using a hierarchical Bayesian approach pp. 39-59
Lynn Kuo , Jun Ying and Gim S. Seow
A Bayesian threshold nonlinearity test for financial time series pp. 61-75
Cathy W. S. Chen , Mike K. P. So and Ming-Tien Chen
Volume 23, issue 8 , 2004
Comparing the accuracy of density forecasts from competing models pp. 541-557
Giorgio Valente and Lucio Sarno
Probability distributions, trading strategies and leverage: an application of Gaussian mixture models pp. 559-585
Paulo Lisboa , Christian L. Dunis and Andreas Lindemann
A fractal forecasting model for financial time series pp. 586-601
Gordon R. Richards
Value at risk from econometric models and implied from currency options pp. 603-620
James Chong
Resuscitating the cobweb cycle pp. 621-624
Klaus Reiner Schenk-Hoppé
Volume 23, issue 7 , 2004
Monetary policy, composite leading economic indicators and predicting the 2001 recession pp. 463-477
Mehdi Mostaghimi
Finding good predictors for inflation: a Bayesian model averaging approach pp. 479-496
Sune Karlsson and Tor Jacobson
Unemployment variation over the business cycles: a comparison of forecasting models pp. 497-511
Laura K. Brown and Saeed Moshiri
Local to unity, long-horizon forecasting thresholds for model selection in the AR(1) pp. 513-539
John Lovick Turner
Volume 23, issue 6 , 2004
Smooth transition exponential smoothing pp. 385-404
James W. Taylor
Combination forecasts of output growth in a seven-country data set pp. 405-430
Mark W. Watson and James H. Stock
Quarterly real GDP estimates for China and ASEAN4 with a forecast evaluation pp. 431-447
Gulasekaran Rajaguru and Tilak Abeysinghe
Daily volatility forecasts: reassessing the performance of GARCH models pp. 449-460
Alan E. H. Speight and David G. McMillan
Volume 23, issue 5 , 2004
Long-run forecasting in multicointegrated systems pp. 315-335
Tom Engsted , Niels Haldrup and Boriss Siliverstovs
A comparison of temperature density forecasts from GARCH and atmospheric models pp. 337-355
Roberto Buizza and James W. Taylor
Forecasting the Treasury's balance at the Fed pp. 357-371
Daniel L Thornton
Asymmetry in the link between the yield spread and industrial production: threshold effects and forecasting pp. 373-384
Ioannis A. Venetis , David A. Peel and Ivan Paya
Volume 23, issue 4 , 2004
Intrinsic bubbles revisited: evidence from nonlinear cointegration and forecasting pp. 237-250
Angelos Kanas and Yue Ma
Forecast accuracy after pretesting with an application to the stock market pp. 251-274
Jan R. Magnus and Dmitry Danilov
Updating ARMA predictions for temporal aggregates pp. 275-296
Yue Fang and Sergio G. Koreisha
Human judgments in New York state sales and use tax forecasting pp. 297-314
Kuo-Yuan Liang and Yu-Ying Kuo
Volume 23, issue 3 , 2004
Asymmetries in conditional mean and variance: modelling stock returns by asMA-asQGARCH pp. 155-171
Jan G. De Gooijer and Kurt Brännäs
Vector smooth transition regression models for US GDP and the composite index of leading indicators pp. 173-196
Maximo Camacho
A classifying procedure for signalling turning points pp. 197-214
Lars-Erik Öller and Lasse Koskinen
Robustness of alternative non-linearity tests for SETAR models pp. 215-231
Man-Wai Ng and Wai-Sum Chan
Review of 'Principles of Forecasting', J. Scott Armstrong (ed.), Kluwer Academic Publishers, 2001, ISBN 0-7923-7930-6 pp. 233-235
Lilian M. de Menezes
Volume 23, issue 2 , 2004
Do seasonal unit roots matter for forecasting monthly industrial production? pp. 77-88
Philip Hans Franses and Yoshinori Kawasaki
Which survey indicators are useful for monitoring consumption? Evidence from European countries pp. 89-98
W. Jos Jansen and Niek Nahuis
An outlier robust hierarchical Bayes model for forecasting: the case of Hong Kong pp. 99-114
William W. Chow
Can out-of-sample forecast comparisons help prevent overfitting? pp. 115-139
Todd Clark
Bias-corrected bootstrap prediction regions for vector autoregression pp. 141-154
Jae Hoon Kim
Volume 23, issue 1 , 2004
Forecasts of the seasonal fractional integrated series pp. 1-17
Vivien Guiraud , Michel Terraza and Olivier Darné
Medium-term forecasts of potential GDP and inflation using age structure information pp. 19-49
Thomas Lindh
Forecasting football results and the efficiency of fixed-odds betting pp. 51-66
Ioannis Asimakopoulos and John Goddard
Forecasting commercial paper rates pp. 67-76
William Carlson , Celia Varick and Conway Lackman