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Inflation Persistence, Monetary Policy, and the Great Moderation

Charles T. Carlstrom, Timothy S. Fuerst () and Matthias Paustian

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 2009, vol. 41, issue 4, pages 767-786

Abstract: There is growing evidence that the empirical Phillips curve within the United States has changed significantly since the early 1980s. In particular, inflation persistence has declined sharply. This paper demonstrates that this decline is consistent with a standard dynamic New Keynesian (DNK) model in which: (i) the variability of technology shocks has declined and (ii) the central bank more aggressively responds to inflation. Copyright (c) 2009 The Ohio State University.

Date: 2009

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