Guglielmo Maria Caporale () and
Nicola Spagnolo ()
Additional contact information Guglielmo Maria Caporale: Brunel University, London, Postal: Centre for Empirical Finance, Brunel University,, West London, UB8 3PH, UK.
Nicola Spagnolo: Brunel University, London, Postal: Centre for Empirical Finance, Brunel University,, West London, UB8 3PH, UK.
Abstract:
This paper estimates a trivariate VAR-GARCH(1,1) model to examine volatility linkages between the stock markets of three Central and Eastern European countries (CEECs), namely the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland. The empirical .findings suggest that following the EU accession regional linkages have become even stronger, and that therefore portfolio diversification within the region has become an even less effective investment strategy. This can be plausibly interpreted as reflecting deeper integration with the "old" EU economies, and has important implications for appropriate policy responses to shocks originating in those countries and affecting the .financial stability of the CEECs.