Journal for Economic Forecasting

2000 - 2009

Edited by Lucian Liviu Albu and Cornelia Scutaru

from Institute for Economic Forecasting
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2009, issue 5

Measuring the Interaction of Structural Changes with Inflation pp. 5-99

Emilian Dobrescu

2009, issue 3

Global Simulation of Quality and Security of Human Life pp. 5-21

M. Zgurovski

Prediction of a Small Area Mean for an Infinite Population when the Variance Components Are Random pp. 22-33

Marius Stefan

The Relation between Predictability and Complexity: Domestic and Public Consumption in the Romanian Economy pp. 34-46

Cornelia Scutaru, Corina Saman and Cristian Stanica

Differential Elasticity of Substitution in the Indian Industries pp. 47-55

mulakala UPENDER and M. Sujan

Financial Development and Economic Growth - A Comparative Analysis pp. 56-74

Gülsün Yay and Asuman Oktayer

Forecasting the Romanian GDP in the Long Run Using a Monetary DSGE pp. 75-84

Petre Caraiani

Testing the Behavior of Romanian Households pp. 85-99

Bianca Pauna

A Neuro-Classification Model for Socio-Technical Systems pp. 100-109

Iulian Nastac, Angelica Bacivarov and Adrian Costea

Happy e-Inclusion? The Case of Romania pp. 110-128

Geomina Turlea and Constantin Ciupagea

Productivity and the Regional Employment in Services. Econometric Estimations for Romania pp. 129-137

Dorin Jula and Nicoleta Jula

Indexes of Regional Economic Growth in Post-Accession Romania pp. 138-152

Dumitru Miron, Alina Mihaela Dima and Simona Vasilache

External Competitiveness of the Romanian Regions and Counties pp. 153-166

Nona Mihaela Ckilian

Migration, Restrictions and the Impact on Labour Market pp. 167-183

Tatiana Roxana Nae

Measuring the Intangible Content of Goods Traded on International Markets. An Exercise on "Made in Italy" versus "Made in China" case pp. 184-197

Marco R. Di Tommaso and Horatiu Dragomirescu

The "Dobrescu Macromodel" of the Romanian Market Economy - 2005 Version Yearly Forecast - Autumn Forecast 2009 pp. 198-201

Institute for Economic Forecasting

2009, issue 2

Nonlinear Inflationary Persistence and Growth: Theory and Empirical Comparative Analysis pp. 5-22

Wojciech Charemza and Svetlana Makarova

An Assessment of the Current Account Sustainability in Romania – An Inter-temporal Perspective pp. 23-41

Ionut Dumitru and Ionela Dumitru

Patterns of Foreign Direct Investment in the New EU Countries pp. 42-51

Robert Aurelian Sova, Lucian Liviu Albu, Ion Stanciu and Anamaria Sova

About a Nonlinear Two-Parameter Prediction Model Used for Investigating the Distribution of CO2 Emission in Europe pp. 52-63

Stefan Stefanescu

Are Capital Markets Integrated? A Test of Information Transmission within the European Union pp. 64-80

Alexandra Horobet and Radu Lupu

Cox Regression Models for Unemployment Duration in Romania, Austria, Slovenia, Croatia, and Macedonia pp. 81-104

Alenka Kavkler, Daniela Emanuela Dănăcică, Ana-Gabriela Babucea, Ivo Bicanic, Bernhard Bohm, Dragan Tevdovski, Katerina Tosevska and Darja Borsic

Exports-Economic Growth Causality: Evidence from CEE Countries pp. 105-117

Monica Ioana Pop Silaghi

Modeling Heavy-Tailed Stock Index Returns Using the Generalized Hyperbolic Distribution pp. 118-131

Ciprian Necula

Price Ratios and the Cross-section of Common Stock Returns on Bucharest Stock Exchange: Empirical Evidence pp. 132-146

Cristiana Tudor

The Development of the Romanian Capital Market: Evidences on Information Efficiency pp. 147-160

Victor Dragotă, Andreea Stoian, Daniel Traian Pele, Eugen Mitrica and Malik Bensafta

The Romanian Flexicurity – A Response to the European Labour Market Needs pp. 161-183

Vasilica Ciuca, Daniela Pasnicu, Liana Son, Ciprian Sipos and Marioara Iordan

Global Sourcing of Services: How Well Are the New EU Member States Coping with the Challenges? (Part II) pp. 184-199

Agnes Ghibutiu and Simona Poladian

The "Dobrescu Macromodel" of the Romanian Market Economy - 2005 Version Yearly Forecast Summer Forecast 2009 pp. 200-203

Institute for Economic Forecasting

2009, issue 1

REGIONAL ECONOMIC VOTING IN ROMANIA pp. 5-15

Dorin Jula and Nicolae Marius Jula

ROMANIA IN A POST-CREDIT CRUNCH WORLD? A CAUTIONARY TALE FROM AUSTRALIA AND AMERICA pp. 16-35

Carmen-Eugenia Costea and Steve KEEN

SECOND ORDER DYNAMICS OF ECONOMIC CYCLES pp. 36-47

Ionut Purica and Petre Caraiani

EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE PERFORMANCES OF BLACK-SCHOLES MODEL FOR EVALUATING EUROPEAN OPTIONS pp. 48-62

Emilia Vasile and Dan Armeanu

A REVIEW OF STUDENT TEST PROPERTIES IN CONDITION OF MULTIFACTORIAL LINEAR REGRESSION pp. 63-75

Florin Marius Pavelescu

INCOME TAXATION REGULATION AND COMPANIES’ BEHAVIOUR: IS THE ROMANIAN COMPANIES’ DIVIDEND POLICY INFLUENCED BY THE CHANGES IN INCOME TAXATION? pp. 76-93

Mihaela Ingrid Dragota, Victor Dragotă, Lucian Tatu and Delia Tatu

ANALYSING THE DEGREE OF SPECIALIZATION IN ROMANIA’S SERVICES TRADE pp. 94-114

Corina Grigorovici

A NEW APPROACH METHOD OF COMPANY VALUATION pp. 115-122

Ion Ionita and Marcel Stoica

GLOBAL SOURCING OF SERVICES: HOW WELL ARE THE NEW EU MEMBER STATES COPING WITH THE CHALLENGES? (PART I) pp. 123-135

Agnes Ghibutiu and Simona Poladian

STRUCTURAL FUND ABSORPTION: A NEW CHALLENGE FOR ROMANIA? pp. 136-154

Gheorghe Zaman and George Georgescu

THE "DOBRESCU MACROMODEL" OF THE ROMANIAN MARKET ECONOMY - 2005 VERSION* YEARLY FORECAST - SPRING FORECAST 2009 pp. 155-159

Institute for Economic Forecasting

2008, issue 4

A DESIRABLE SCENARIO FOR THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY DURING 2008-2013 pp. 15-58

Emilian Dobrescu

WHY IS THIS FINANCIAL CRISIS OCCURRING? HOW TO RESPOND TO IT? pp. 59-87

Daniel Daianu and Laurian Lungu

THE TECHNOLOGY FORECASTING OF NEW MATERIALS: THE EXAMPLE OF NANOSIZED CERAMIC POWDERS pp. 88-110

Cheng, An-Chin and Chen, Chia-Yon

A MODEL TO ESTIMATE SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF INFORMAL ECONOMY pp. 111-124

Lucian Liviu Albu

THE IMPACT OF ACCESSION TO THE EUROPEAN UNION ON PERCEPTIONS RELATED TO BUSINESS RISKS IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN EUROPE. A DISTANCE-TYPE ANALYSIS pp. 125-145

Paun Cristian, Alina Chiciudean, Alina Draghici, Costea Munteanu and Radu Cristian Musetescu

MODELING THE ECONOMIC GROWTH IN ROMANIA. THE INFLUENCE OF FISCAL REGIMES pp. 146-160

Moisa Altar, Ciprian Necula and Gabriel Bobeica

FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY IN THE MEDITERRANEAN REGION – A COMPARISON BETWEEN THE EU AND NON-EU MEMBER STATES pp. 161-173

Aleksander Aristovnik

IMPACT OF GLOBALISATION ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC PHENOMENON pp. 174-195

Mariana Nicolae Balan and Valentina Vasile

PREDICTABILITY AND COMPLEXITY IN MACROECONOMICS. THE CASE OF GROSS FIXED CAPITAL FORMATION IN THE ROMANIAN ECONOMY pp. 196-205

Cornelia Scutaru, Corina Saman and Cristian Stanica

THE "DOBRESCU MACROMODEL" OF THE ROMANIAN MARKET ECONOMY - 2005 VERSION YEARLY FORECAST AUTUMN FORECAST pp. 206-209

Bianca Pauna, Ion Ghizdeanu, Cornelia Scutaru, Petre Fomin and Corina Saman

2008, issue 3

Product Market Regulation in Romania: A Comparison with OECD Countries - Part II pp. 5-29

Marianne Fay, Donato De Rosa and Catalin Pauna

MODELLING TOURISM DEMAND: A COMPARATIVE STUDY BETWEEN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS AND THE BOX-JENKINS METHODOLOGY pp. 30-50

Paula Fernandez, Joao Teixeira, Joao Matos Ferreira and Susana G. Azevedo

SPURIOUS REGRESSION AND COINTEGRATION. NUMERICAL EXAMPLE: ROMANIA’S M2 MONEY DEMAND pp. 51-62

Gheorghe Ruxanda and Andreea Botezatu

TESTING MARKET EFFICIENCY VIA DECOMPOSITION OF STOCK RETURN. APPLICATION TO ROMANIAN CAPITAL MARKET pp. 63-79

Daniel Traian Pele and Virgil Voineagu

ANALYSIS OF CRITICAL CONTROL POINTS OF ALTERNATIVE DECISIONS ON THE CHOICE OF PERFORMANCE BASED BUDGETING SYSTEM: THE ANALYSIS OF THE PRACTICES IN TURKEY’S PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS pp. 80-99

Kamil Tugen, H. Ahmet Akdeniz, Haluk Egeli, Mehmet Aksarayli and Ahmet Ozen

AN ANALYSIS OF DOMESTIC AND EXTERNAL SHOCKS ON ROMANIAN ECONOMY USING A DSGE MODEL pp. 100-114

Petre Caraiani

MODELING THE ECONOMIC GROWTH IN ROMANIA. THE ROLE OF HUMAN CAPITAL pp. 115-128

Moisa Altar, Ciprian Necula and Gabriel Bobeica

THE "DOBRESCU MACROMODEL" OF THE ROMANIAN MARKET ECONOMY - 2005 VERSION YEARLY FORECAST AUTUMN FORECAST pp. 129-131

Bianca Pauna, Ion Ghizdeanu, Cornelia Scutaru, Petre Fomin and Corina Saman

2008, issue 2

Product Market Regulation in Romania: A Comparison with OECD Countries pp. 5-34

Marianne Fay, Donato De Rosa and Catalin Pauna

The Demand for Money in Transition Economies pp. 35-43

ilhan Ozturk and Ali Acaravcı

A Model to Estimate the Composite Index of Economic Activity in Romania – IEF-RO pp. 44-50

Lucian Liviu Albu

Pattern Classification Using Secondary Components Perceptron and Economic Applications pp. 51-66

Daniel Ciuiu

Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation of the Number of Visits to the Generalist in 2002/2003 French Health Survey pp. 67-91

Marius Stefan

Comparing of Welfare indicators between Turkey and European Union Member States pp. 92-98

Filiz Ersoz and Leyla Bayrak

The Role of Public Spending in the Growth Theory Evolution pp. 99-120

Alexandru Minea

Second order effects in population migration pp. 121-128

Ionut Purica

The "Dobrescu Macromodel" of the Romanian Market Economy* -2005 Version-Yearly Forecast Scenario for “Increase in foreign capital inflows” pp. 129-131

Bianca Pauna, Ion Ghizdeanu, Cornelia Scutaru, Petre Fomin and Corina Saman

2008, issue 1

Measuring the Correlation of Shocks Between the UK and the Core of Europe pp. 17-26

Stephen George Hall and B. Yhap

Real Convergence and Integration pp. 27-40

Aurel Iancu

Elementary Quantum Mechanical Principles and Social Science: Is There a Connection? pp. 41-58

Emmanuel Haven

Disinflation and Inflation Targeting in Romania pp. 59-81

Daniel Daianu and Ella Kallai

Value-Based Inventory Management pp. 82-90

Grzegorz Marek Michalski

Trends in Structural Changes and Convergence in EU pp. 91-101

Lucian Liviu Albu

On Insurer Portfolio Optimization. An Underwriting Risk Model pp. 102-118

Vasile Preda and Roxana Ciumara

Polynomial Interpolation and Applications to Autoregressive Models pp. 119-129

George Daniel Mateescu

Mihail Manoilescu: An Appreciation and a Critique pp. 130-133

Andrea Maneschi

Alternative Measures of Core Inflation in Romania pp. 134-148

Elena Pelinescu and Andrei Silviu Dospinescu

Measuring the Socio-Economic Bipolarization Phenomenon pp. 149-161

Stefan Stefananescu

Exploring Students' Views on the Teaching pp. 162-174

Eleni Tsami

Romania's Exchange Rate Policy towards its European Monetary Union Membership - Prospects and Challenges pp. 175-181

Nicu Marcu

Forecasting Romanian GDP Using a Small DSGE Model pp. 182-192

Petre Caraiani

The "Dobrescu Macromodel" of the Romanian Market Economy - 2005 Version - Base Scenario for 2008 pp. 193-195

Bianca Pauna, Ion Ghizdeanu, Cornelia Scutaru, Petre Fomin and Corina Saman