MODELING INFLATION IN ROMANIA

Elena Pelinescu and Geomina Turlea ()
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Geomina Turlea: Institute of World Economy, Romanian Academy, and Romanian Center for Economic Modelling, Bucharest

Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2004, vol. 1, issue 4, pages 68-86

Abstract: This paper is organized in three parts: a discussion of general issues, an overview of evolution of inflation, highlighting the stages of the persistent inflation in Romania, and a model of Romanian inflation using VAR methodology. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulation and research of inflation and its determinants in Romania, with a focus on the short-term impact of changes in money, foreign exchange and wage policies as well as the impact of external shocks.

Keywords: inflation; price; VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 P22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004

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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:1:y:2004:i:4:p:68-86

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