IMPULSE ANALYSES OF THE ROMANIAN INFLATION

Elena Pelinescu and Andrei Silviu Dospinescu ()
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Andrei Silviu Dospinescu: Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest

Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2005, vol. 2, issue 4, pages 5-24

Abstract: This paper is organized in two parts, an overview of the evolution of inflation, highlighting the factors that influenced the persistent inflation in Romania, and a VAR model for the impulse analyses. The purpose of the paper is to present an efficient instrument for simulating and researching the short-term impact of the changes in money, foreign exchange and the impact of external shocks (such as international price of oil) on the development of inflation.

Keywords: inflation; price; forecasting and simulation; VAR (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E31 E37 C53 P22 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:rjr:romjef:v:2:y:2005:i:4:p:5-24

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