research articles: The role of lender behavior in international project finance
Sumru Altug (),
Sule Ozler () and
Murat Usman ()
Additional contact information Sule Ozler: UCLA, 2263 Bunche Hall, 405 Hilgard Avenue, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1447, USA
Abstract:
A sovereign borrower seeks to raise funds internationally to finance a fixed-size project, which no single lender can finance alone. Lenders cannot lend more than their endowments, which are private information. A coordination failure arises; therefore, some socially desirable projects may not be financed, even if ex post feasible. There are multiple equilibria, and a conflict exists between lenders about which equilibrium to coordinate on. When endowments are volatile, some lenders prefer an equilibrium in which the project is financed with probability $p < 1$, even if ex post feasible. The government eliminates such equilibria by offering a sufficiently high return, only if endowment volatility is small.