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Modelling trajectories through the educational system in North West England

Roger Penn and Damon Berridge

Education Economics, 2008, vol. 16, issue 4, pages 411-431

Abstract: The main aim of this paper is to identify those school-level and locality-level factors that significantly affect each of the three stages in a young adult's educational trajectory in North West England: GCSE results, track taken at age 16 and 'A'-level scores. By applying three-level models to data collected as part of the EFFNATIS project, we find no evidence of any locality-level effects. Overall, none of the explanatory variables conventionally considered to affect educational attainment had a consistent effect across all three stages. Rather, each explanatory variable had a contingent effect at specific points within the overall trajectory of educational outcomes.

Keywords: GCSE scores; track taken at age 16; 'A'-level scores; multi-level models; linear regression; multinomial logit (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008

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