The Current Account--Interest Rate Relation as a Nonlinear Phenomenon

Marianna Belloc () and Giancarlo Gandolfo ()

Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, 2005, vol. 14, issue 2, pages 145-166

Abstract: The current account--interest rate relationship has been extensively investigated, but always assuming that it is linear. In this paper we examine the linearity versus nonlinearity issue with reference to this relationship in 11 OECD countries, and find overwhelming evidence in favour of nonlinearity. After testing alternative nonlinear specifications, we estimate a smooth transition regression model and a nonlinear VAR model. Finally, we provide a study of the innovation response analysis that shows adjustment behaviours of the two variables. The implications of the results are discussed.

Keywords: Current account; real interest rate; nonlinearity; linearity testing; nonlinear modelling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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