The Aftermath Of Appreciations
Ilan Goldfajn and
Rodrigo O. ValdŽs
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1999, vol. 114, issue 1, pages 229-262
This paper empirically analyzes a broad range of real exchange rate appreciation episodes. The objective is twofold. First, the paper studies the dynamics of appreciations, using a sample that is not limited to cases that end in crisis (or devaluation). Second, the paper analyzes the mechanism by which overvaluations are corrected. In particular, for various degrees of misalignment we calculate the proportion of the reversions that occur through nominal devaluations rather than through cumulative inflation differentials. The overall conclusion is that in most cases large and medium appreciations are reversed with nominal devaluations. © 2000 the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology
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