Testing for Breaks in Cointegrated Panels - with an Application to the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle

Francesca Di Iorio and Stefano Fachin ()

Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2007, vol. 1, issue 14, pages 1-23

Abstract: Stability tests for cointegrating coefficients are known to have very low power with small to medium sample sizes. In this paper we propose to solve this problem by extending the tests to dependent cointegrated panels through the stationary bootstrap. Simulation evidence shows that the proposed panel tests improve considerably on asymptotic tests applied to individual series. As an empirical illustration we examined investment and saving for a panel of European countries over the 1960-2002 period. While the individual stability tests, contrary to expectations and graphical evidence, in almost all cases do not reject the null of stability, the bootstrap panel tests lead to the more plausible conclusion that the long-run relationship between these two variables is likely to have undergone a break.

Keywords: cointegration; stationary bootstrap; parameter stability tests; FM-OLS (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2007
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Working Paper: Testing for Breaks in Cointegrated Panels - with an Application to the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle (2007)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:zbw:ifweej:6808

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