Centre for International Economic Studies Working Papers

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2011-02: Climate Change and Food Security to 2030: A Global Economy-wide Perspective

Ernesto Valenzuela and Kym Anderson

2011-01: Projecting the World Economy to 2050: Agriculture in the Economy-wide GTAP Model

Ernesto Valenzuela and Kym Anderson

2010-16: Trade Barrier Volatility and Agricultural Price Stabilization

Kym Anderson and Signe Nelgen

2010-15: How Do Governments Respond to Food Price Spikes? Lessons from the Past

Kym Anderson and Signe Nelgen

2010-14: Agricultural Policy as a Barrier to Global Economic Integration

Kym Anderson and Ernesto Valenzuela

2010-13: Agricultural Distortion Patterns Since the 1950s: What Needs Explaining?

Kym Anderson, Johanna Croser, Damiano Sandri and Ernesto Valenzuela

2010-12: Economic Impacts of Policies Affecting Crop Biotechnology and Trade

Kym Anderson

2010-11: Globalisation's Effects on World Agricultural Trade, 1960 to 2050

Kym Anderson

2010-10: Distortions to Global Agricultural Markets: What Next?

Kym Anderson

2010-09: Novel Indicators of the Trade and Welfare Effects of Agricultural Distortions in OECD Countries

Kym Anderson and Johanna Croser

2010-08: New Indicators of How Much Agricultural Policies Restrict Global Trade

Kym Anderson and Johanna Croser

2010-07: Agricultural Distortions in Sub-Saharan Africa: Trade and Welfare Indicators, 1961 to 2004

Johanna Croser and Kym Anderson

2010-06: How Do Agricultural Policy Restrictions to Global Trade and Welfare Differ Across Commodities?

Johanna Croser, Peter Lloyd and Kym Anderson

2010-05: Changing Ccontributions of Different Agricultural Policy Instruments to Global Reductions in Trade and Welfare

Johanna Croser and Kym Anderson

2010-04: Krueger/Schiff/Valdes Revisited: Agricultural Price and Trade Policy Reform in Developing Countries since 1960

Kym Anderson

2010-03: Global Distortions to Agricultural Markets: New Indicators of Trade and Welfare Impacts, 1960 to 2007

Kym Anderson

2010-02: How Would Global Trade Liberalization Affect Rural and Regional Incomes in Australia?

Kym Anderson, James Giesecke and Ernesto Valenzuela

2010-01: Agricultural and Trade Policy Reforms in Latin America: Impacts on Markets and Welfare

Kym Anderson and Ernesto Valenzuela

2009-05: Would Freeing Up World Trade Reduce Poverty and Inequality? The Vexed Role of Agricultural Distortions

Kym Anderson, John Cockburn and Will J Martin

2009-04: The Impact of Manufacturing Protection on Agricultural Incentives in Australia

Kym Anderson

2009-03: How Distorted Have Agricultural Incentives Become in EuropeÂ’s Transition Economies?

Kym Anderson and Johan Frans Maria Swinnen

2009-02: Wine export demand shocks and wine tax reform in Australia: Regional consequences using an economy-wide approach

Kym Anderson, Ernesto Valenzuela and Glyn Wittwer

2009-01: Economic contributions and characteristics of grapes and wine in AustraliaÂ’s wine regions

Kym Anderson, Signe Nelgen, Ernesto Valenzuela and Glyn Wittwer

2007-09: Impacts of Trade Reform: Sensitivity of Model Results to Key Assumptions

Ernesto Valenzuela, Kym Anderson and Thomas Warren Hertel

2007-08: Distortions in farmer prices since the 1950s: South Africa in international perspective

Kym Anderson, Francesca de Nicola, Esteban Jara, Marianne Kurzweil, Damiano Sandri and Ernesto Valenzuela

2007-07: Recent and Prospective Adoption of Genetically Modified Cotton: A Global CGE Analysis of Economic Impacts

Kym Anderson, Ernesto Valenzuela and Lee Ann Jackson

2007-06: WTOÂ’s Doha Cotton Initiative: A Tale of Two Issues

Kym Anderson and Ernesto Valenzuela

2007-05: Effects of Multilateral and Preferential Trade Policy Reform in Africa: The Case of Uganda

Kym Anderson and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

2007-04: SCOPE FOR DOHA TO REDUCE DISCRIMINATION IN AGRICULTURAL MARKETS

Kym Anderson

2007-03: Agricultural Trade Reform Under the Doha Agenda: Some Key Issues

Will J Martin and Kym Anderson

2007-02: China, the WTO, and the Doha Agenda

Kym Anderson, Will J Martin and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

2007-01: Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Australia Since World War II

Kym Anderson, Peter Lloyd and Donald MacLaren

2006-04: Models of Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates Revisited: A Selective Review of the Literature

Reza Y. Siregar and Ramkishen S. Rajan

2006-03: Patent Examination Decisions and Strategic Trade Behavior

Alfons Palangkaraya, Paul H. Jensen and Elizabeth Webster

2006-02: Fundamental Pitfalls of Exchange Market Pressure-Based Approaches to Identification of Currency Crises

Victor Pontines and Reza Y. Siregar

2006-01: Exchange Market Intervention and Evidence of Post-Crisis Flexible Exchange Rate Regimes in Selected East Asian Economies

Victor Pontines and Reza Y. Siregar

2005-20: External Debt and Exchange Rate Overshooting: The Case of Selected East Asian Countries Abstract: The accumulations of foreign debts had indeed been at a rapid phase, particularly during the last few years leading to the outbreak of the 1997 financial crises in the four most severely effected economies, namely Indonesia, the Philippines, Thailand and Korea. Interestingly, during the same period, the rates of overshooting of these East Asian currencies have also been found to increase considerably. The objective of this paper is to evaluate whether the rapid accumulation of external debts, especially since 1994, has contributed to the overshooting of the East Asian countriesÂ’ currencies starting late 1997

Reza Y. Siregar and Victor Pontines

2005-19: Distortions to world trade: impacts on agricultural markets and farm incomes. Abstract: This paper provides estimates of the impact that removing all merchandise trade distortions (including agricultural subsidies) would have on food and agricultural production, trade and incomes. Using the latest versions of the GTAP database and the World Bank’s LINKAGE model of the global economy (projected to 2015), our results suggest farm employment, the real value of agricultural output and exports, the real returns to farm land and unskilled labor, and real net farm incomes would all rise substantially in developing country regions with a move to free merchandise trade, thereby alleviating rural poverty – despite the decline in international terms of trade for developing countries that are net food importers or are enjoying preferential access to agricultural markets of high-income countries

Kym Anderson, Will J Martin and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

2005-18: Would Multilateral Trade Reform Benefit Sub-Saharan Africans?

Kym Anderson, Will J Martin and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

2005-17: Agricultural Trade Reform and the Doha Development Agenda

Kym Anderson and Will J Martin

2005-16: Doha Merchandise Trade Reform: WhatÂ’s at Stake for Developing Countries?

Kym Anderson, Will J Martin and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

2005-15: On the Virtues of Multilateral Trade Negotiations

Kym Anderson

2005-14: Interactions between trade policies and GM food regulations

Kym Anderson

2005-13: Setting the trade policy agenda: what roles for economists?

Kym Anderson

2005-12: Optimal debt and equilibrium exchange rates in a Stochastic Environment: An Overview

Jerome L. Stein

2005-11: The Hay and the Carrot: A Model of Corporate Sponsoring of Academic Research

Ralph Bayer and Eran Binenbaum

2005-10: Grants, Contracts and the Division of Labor in Academic Research

Eran Binenbaum

2005-09: Can High Reserves Offset Weak Fundamentals? A Simple Model of Precautionary Demand for Reserves

Jie Li and Ramkishen S. Rajan

2005-08: The Determinants of Trade Balance and Adjustment to the Crisis in Indonesia

Iman Sugema

2005-07: Monetary Sterilization in China Since the 1990s: How Much and How Effective?

Alice Y. Ouyang and Ramkishen S. Rajan