INCORPORANDO O ATRASO ESCOLAR E AS CARACTERÍSTICAS SÓCIO- DEMOGRÁFICAS NAS TAXAS DE TRANSIÇÃO EDUCACIONAL: UM MODELO DE FLUXO ESCOLARElaine Toldo Pazello, Reynaldo Fernandes and Fabiana de Felício Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33th Brazilian Economics Meeting] from ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] Abstract: The aim of this paper is to introduce a model of student flows. Starting with two years of the Brazilian Household Survey PNAD (2002 and 2003), school transition rates are identified for primary school and high school. These rates are used to project the education- related data in PNAD until 2009. The main contribution of the paper is to condition transition rates on schooling delay, unlike previous studies, which relied on a Markovian model. Furthermore, demographics are also taken into account. The estimates suggest that first grade entrance and approved rates decrease with schooling delay and increase with more educated parents. The projections indicate a smaller enrollment in the early grades of primary school. This may be the consequence of the primary school universalization, which has taken place in the last decade. The projections also indicate a significant rise in enrollment in high school. JEL-codes: I21 (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from Access Statistics for this paper More papers in Anais do XXXIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 33th Brazilian Economics Meeting] from ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] |
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