Money in an Estimated Business Cycle Model of the Euro Area

Javier Andrés (), David Lopez-Salido () and Javier Vallés
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Javier Vallés: Banco de España

No 121, Banco de España Working Papers from Banco de España

Abstract: We present maximum likelihood estimates of a small scale dynamic general equilibrium model for the Eurozone. We pay special attention to the role of money, both through its direct effect upon private agents’ decisions and as a component of the monetary policy rule. Our results can be summarized as follows. First, we find no direct effect of money upon inflation and output but money growth plays a significant role in the interest rate rule. Second, money demand shocks mainly help to forecast real balances while real shocks explain the bulk of price, output and interest rates fluctuations. Third, the estimated model predicts sensible conditional correlations among those variables both to demand and supply disturbances. Finally, the systematic response of interest rates to money growth does not seem to have affected the output-inflation variability trade-off.

Date: 2001-12
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http://www.bde.es/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicacion ... o/01/Fic/dt0121e.pdf First version, December 2001 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Money in an Estimated Business Cycle Model of the Euro Area (2006)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bde:wpaper:0121

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