The curse of technological race: the red queen effect
Leonardo Costa Ribeiro,
Ricardo Machado Ruiz,
Américo Tristão Bernardes and
Eduardo Albuquerque ()
Additional contact information
Leonardo Costa Ribeiro: UFMG
Ricardo Machado Ruiz: Cedeplar-UFMG
Américo Tristão Bernardes: UFOP
Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG from Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
Economic prosperity is tied to scientific development, i.e., there is a strong correlation between science, technology and the wealth of nations. We collected data from scientific and technological production of 183 countries of the last thirty years (1974 to 2003) and applied a super-paramagnetic clustering technique on them, finding nations divided in three regimes, distinguished by the interactions between the agents of their National Systems of Innovation (NSI). The identification of these groups allows us to define the dynamical behavior of the thresholds, that grow exponentially and whose growth rate we have calculated. We show that for the period 1974-2003 the threshold between the immature and the developed NSIs increases by an annual rate of 6.6% (per capita). We identify clearly a "Red Queen Effect". Finally we show that the transitions between the regimes are discontinuous, represented by a structural breakthrough. Therefore, the prerequisite to move from regime I to regime II, and then to regime III are structural changes within NSIs.
Keywords: national systems of innovation; super-paramagnetic clustering technique; moving thresholds (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O0 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ino
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cdp:texdis:td288
Ordering information: This working paper can be ordered from
Cedeplar-FACE-UFMG Av. Antonio Carlos, 6627 Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901 Brazil
Access Statistics for this paper
More papers in Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG from Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais Cedeplar-FACE-UFMG Av. Antonio Carlos, 6627 Belo Horizonte, MG 31270-901 Brazil. Contact information at EDIRC.
Series data maintained by Gustavo Britto ().