O ciclo das commodities e crescimento regional desigual no Brasil: uma aplicação de equilíbrio geral computável (EGC)
Thiago Simonato and
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Celso Sessa: Cedeplar-UFMG
Thiago Simonato: Cedeplar-UFMG
Edson Domingues: Cedeplar-UFMG
No 551, Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG from Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
The principles of uneven development are important for understanding the Brazilian regional reality, which has peculiar contours by dependence on commodity exports. Given the locational rigidity and the volatility of prices characteristic of this market, the spatial distribution of the impacts of these activities assumes importance in the persistence of regional inequalities. This work proceeds from the use of IMAGEM-B model (Integrated Multi-Regional Applied General Equilibrium Model - Brazil) configured to capture the impact that the increase in foreign demand for commodities had on Brazil's economic performance, allowing to identify the main channels capable of stimulating economic growth. Preliminary results indicate that the Brazilian economy showed significant responses to effect price of exports (investment, regional employment, income and consumption), the quantum effect in exports to other exporting regions (export and domestic import) and the aggregate result of GDP. The observed trends reflect not only different levels of industrialization and regional production structures, but also an economic concentration (sectoral and spatially selective) held a regional division of production, which has not allowed apparently reduce regional inequalities
Keywords: Commodities; Regional Inequalities; Computable General Equilibrium. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: R11 R13 C68 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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