Turkish Delight – Does Turkey’s accession to the EU bring economic benefits?Arjan Lejour () and Ruud de Mooij No CESifo Working Paper No. 1183, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich Abstract: We explore the economic implications of the possible Turkish accession to the European Union. We focus on three main changes associated with Turkish membership: (i) accession to the internal European Market; (ii) institutional reforms in Turkey triggered by EU-membership; and (iii) migration in response to the free movement of workers. Overall, the macroeconomic implications for EU countries are small but positive. European exports increase by around 20 percent. Turkey experiences larger economic gains than the EU: consumption per capita is estimated to rise by about 4 percent as a result of accession to the internal market and free movement of labour. If Turkey would succeed in reforming its domestic institutions in response to EU-membership, consumption per capita in Turkey could raise by an additional 9 percent. These benefits would spill over to the EU. Keywords: Turkey; regional economic integration; general equilibrium model; gravity equations; institutional reform; migration (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ces:ceswps:_1183 Access Statistics for this paper More papers in CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich |
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