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Probabilistic Aging

Dominik Grafenhofer (), Christian Jaag, Christian Keuschnigg and Mirela Keuschnigg ()

No CESifo Working Paper No. 1680, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich

Abstract: The paper develops an overlapping generations model with probabilistic aging of households. We define age as a set of personal attributes such as earnings potential, health and tastes that are characteristic of a person's position in the life-cycle. In assuming a limited number of different states of age, we separate the concepts of age and time since birth. Agents may retain their age characteristics for several periods before they move with a given probability to another state of age. Different generations that share the same age characteristics are aggregated analytically to a low number of age groups. The probabilistic aging model thus allows for a very parsimonious yet rather close approximation of demographic structure and life-cycle differences in earnings, wealth and consumption. Existing classes of overlapping generations models follow as special cases.

Keywords: overlapping generations; aging; demographics; life-cycle earnings (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D58 D91 H55 J21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-pbe
Date: 2006
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