Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs?

Bart Leo Wim Cockx () and Matteo Picchio ()

No CESifo Working Paper No. 2569, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich

Abstract: This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.

Keywords: event history model; transition data; state dependence; short-lived jobs; stepping stone effect; long-lasting jobs (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C15 C41 J62 J64 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009
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Related works:
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs ? (2009)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2009)
Working Paper: Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs? (2009)
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