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Time is Running Out: The 2°C Target and Optimal Climate Policies

Yu-Fu Chen, Michael Funke and Nicole Glanemann

No 3664, CESifo Working Paper Series from CESifo Group Munich

Abstract: The quintessence of recent natural science studies is that the 2°C target can only be achieved with massive emission reductions in the next few years. The central twist of this paper is the addition of this limited time to act into a non-perpetual real options framework analysing optimal climate policy under uncertainty. The window-of-opportunity modelling setup shows that the limited time to act may spark a trend reversal in the direction of low-carbon alternatives. However, the implementation of a climate policy is evaded by high uncertainty about possible climate pathways.

Keywords: climate policy; CO2 scenarios; non-perpetual real options (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q51 Q54 D81 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Related works:
Working Paper: Time is Running Out: The 2°C Target and Optimal Climate Policies (2012) Downloads
Working Paper: Time is Running Out: The 2°C Target and Optimal Climate Policies (2011) Downloads
Working Paper: Time is Running Out: The 2°C Target and Optimal Climate Policies (2011) Downloads
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