Trade Liberalisation, Growth and Poverty in Senegal: a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model Analysis

Nabil Annabi (), Fatou Cisse, John Cockburn () and Bernard Decaluwe ()

Working Papers from CEPII research center

Abstract: An integrated sequential dynamic computable general equilibrium model is used to study the potential poverty and inequality effects of a complete tariff removal in Senegal. The model is calibrated with a 1996 social accounting matrix and a 1995 survey of 3278 households. The outcomes indicate small short run negative impacts in terms of welfare and poverty. In the long run, growth effects captured by the model bring an expansion of the industrial and services sectors and substantial poverty decreases. However, the decomposition of the results shows that the contribution of the redistribution component to poverty alleviation is negative.

Keywords: Dynamic CGE model; trade liberalisation; poverty; inequality; Senegal; market access; CGEM (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D33 D58 E27 F17 I32 O15 O55 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cmp, nep-int and nep-mac
Date: Written
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Working Paper: Trade Liberalisation, Growth and Poverty in Senegal: a Dynamic Microsimulation CGE Model Analysis (2005)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:cii:cepidt:2005-07

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