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Pensions with endogenous and stochastic fertility

Helmuth Cremer (), Pierre PESTIEAU and Firouz Gahvari ()

No 2004067, CORE Discussion Papers from Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE)

Abstract: This paper studies the design of a pay-as-you-go social security system in a society where fertility is in part stochastic and in part determined through capital investment. If parents' investments in children are publicly observable, pension benefits must be linked positively to the the level of investment, and payroll taxes negatively to the number of children. The outcome is characterized by full insurance with all parents, regardless of their number of children, enjoying identical consumption levels. Without observability, benefits must increase, and payroll taxes decrease, with the number of children. The second-best level of investment in children, and the resulting average fertility rate, are less than their corresponding first-best levels.

Keywords: pay-as-you-go social security; endogenous fertility; storage; moral hazard; SamuelsonÕs condition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: H55 J13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2004-09-01
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http://www.core.ucl.ac.be/services/psfiles/dp04/dp2004_67.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Pensions with Endogenous and Stochastic Fertility (2004) Downloads
Journal Article: Pensions with endogenous and stochastic fertility (2006) Downloads
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