Can the Fed talk the Hind Legs off the Stock Market? (replaces CentER DP 2011-072)

Sylvester Eijffinger (), Ronald Mahieu and L.B.D. Raes
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L.B.D. Raes: Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research

No 2012-012, Discussion Paper from Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research

Abstract: Abstract: Central banks in fluence financial markets' expectations of its future policy. By providing its stance on the prospects of the economy, rationalizing past decisions or announcing future actions, central banks affect financial markets' forecasts. In bad times monetary policy communication inducing an upward revision of the path of future policy is good news for stocks. During an expansion the effect is weak and on average negative. The response of equities to central bank talk depends critically on the business cycle. There are strong industry specific effects of monetary policy actions and communication. These industry effects relate to the variation in cyclicality of different industries. Firmspecific effects of monetary policy relate to the leverage, the size and the price-earnings ratio of firms.

JEL-codes: G14 E44 E52 E58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba and nep-mon
Date: 2012
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