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Better Safe than Sorry? Ex Ante and Ex Post Moral Hazard in Dynamic Insurance Data

Jaap H. Abbring (), Pierre Chiappori () and Tibor Zavadil ()
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Tibor Zavadil: VU University Amsterdam

No 08-075/3, Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers from Tinbergen Institute

Abstract: This paper empirically analyzes moral hazard in car insurance using a dynamic theory of an insuree's dynamic risk (ex ante moral hazard) and claim (ex post moral hazard) choices and Dutch longitudinal micro data. We use the theory to characterize the heterogeneous dynamic changes in incentives to avoid claims that are generated by the Dutch experience-rating scheme, and their effects on claim times and sizes under moral hazard. We develop tests that exploit these structural implications of moral hazard and experience rating. Unlike much of the earlier literature, we find evidence of moral hazard.

Keywords: insurance; moral hazard; selection; state dependence; event-history analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D82 G22 C41 C14 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-bec, nep-cta and nep-ias
Date: 2008-08-25
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