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Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers

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13-062/III: Solution-Driven Specification of DSGE Models Downloads
Francisco A. A. Blasques
13-061/III: Comparing the Accuracy of Copula-Based Multivariate Density Forecasts in Selected Regions of Support Downloads
Cees Diks, Valentyn Panchenko, Oleg Sokolinskiy and Dick van Dijk
13-060/III: Censored Posterior and Predictive Likelihood in Left-Tail Prediction for Accurate Value at Risk Estimation Downloads
Lukasz Gatarek, Lennart Hoogerheide, Koen Hooning and Herman K. van Dijk
13-059/VIII: Residential Parking Permits and Parking Supply Downloads
Jos van Ommeren, Jesper de Groote and Giuliano Mingardo
13-058/IV: Quantifying Productivity Gains from Foreign Investment Downloads
Christian Fons-Rosen, Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan, Bent E. Sorensen, Carolina Villegas-Sanchez and Vadym Volosovych
13-057/III: Analyzing Fixed-Event Forecast Revisions Downloads
Chia-Lin Chang, Bert de Bruijn, Philip Hans Franses and Michael McAleer
13-056/VIII: The User Costs of Air Travel Delay Variability Downloads
Paul Koster, Eric Pels and Erik Teodoor Verhoef
13-055/III: Parallel Sequential Monte Carlo for Efficient Density Combination: The Deco Matlab Toolbox Downloads
Roberto Casarin, Stefano Grassi, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman K. van Dijk
13-054/III: On the Phase Dependence in Time-Varying Correlations Between Time-Series Downloads
Francisco A. A. Blasques
13-053/II: Saving Private Pareto Downloads
Harold Houba, Roland Iwan Luttens and Hans-Peter Weikard
13-052/VI/DSF 55: Long Term Government Debt, Financial Fragility and Sovereign Default Risk Downloads
Christiaan van der Kwaak and Sweder van Wijnbergen
13-051/II: Asymmetric Nash Solutions in the River Sharing Problem Downloads
Harold Houba, Gerard van der Laan and Yuyu Zeng
13-050/III: Joint Independent Metropolis-Hastings Methods for Nonlinear Non-Gaussian State Space Models Downloads
Istvan Barra, Lennart Hoogerheide, Siem Jan Koopman and André Lucas
13-049/III: Are Forecast Updates Progressive? Downloads
Chia-Lin Chang, Philip Hans Franses and Michael McAleer
13-048/III: Ten Things you should know about DCC Downloads
Massimiliano Caporin and Michael McAleer
13-047/III: GARCH Models for Daily Stock Returns: Impact of Estimation Frequency on Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Forecasts Downloads
David Ardia and Lennart Hoogerheide
13-046/I: Democracy and Regulation: The Effects of Electoral Competition on Infrastructure Investments Downloads
Arthur Jan Hendricus Christoffel Schram and Aljaz Ule
13-045/II: In Defense of Trusts: R&D Cooperation in Global Perspective Downloads
Jeroen Hinloopen, Grega Smrkolj and Florian Oskar Ottokar Wagener
13-044/V: Education and Health: The Role of Cognitive Ability Downloads
Govert Ewout Bijwaard, Hans van Kippersluis and Justus Veenman
13-043/I: Strategies and Evolution in the Minority Game: A Multi- Round Strategy Experiment Downloads
Jona Linde, Joep Sonnemans and Jan Tuinstra
13-042/VIII: From Mine to Coast: Transport Infrastructure and the Direction of Trade in Developing Countries Downloads
Roberto Bonfatti and Steven Poelhekke
13-041/III: Prediction Bias Correction for Dynamic Term Structure Models Downloads
Eran Raviv
13-040/III: Coercive Journal Self Citations, Impact Factor, Journal Influence and Article Influence Downloads
Chia-Lin Chang, Michael McAleer and Les Oxley
13-039/VI/DSF54: Recessions after Systemic Banking Crises: Does it matter how Governments intervene? Downloads
Sweder van Wijnbergen and Timotej Homar
13-038/VII: Employee Recognition and Performance: A Field Experiment Downloads
Christiane Bradler, Robert Dur, Susanne Neckermann and Arjan Non
13-037/VII: Product and Labor Market Imperfections and Scale Economies: Micro-Evidence on France, Japan and the Netherlands Downloads
Sabien Dobbelaere, Kozo Kiyota and Jacques MAIRESSE
13-036/III: Robust Estimation and Forecasting of the Capital Asset Pricing Model Downloads
Guorui Bian, Michael McAleer and Wing-Keung Wong
13-035/V: Why the Rich drink more but smoke less: The Impact of Wealth on Health Behaviors Downloads
Hans van Kippersluis and Titus J. Galama
13-034/IV/DSF53: The Political Economy of Finance Downloads
Enrico Perotti
13-033/VIII: Over- and Under-Bidding in Tendering Downloads
Vincent A.C. van den Berg
13-032/IV/DSF52: Proprietary Trading and the Real Economy Downloads
Stefan Arping
13-031/VIII: On Revenue Recycling and the Welfare Effects of Second-Best Congestion Pricing in a Monocentric City Downloads
Ioannis Tikoudis, Erik Teodoor Verhoef and Jos van Ommeren
13-030/I: The Non-Equivalence of Labor Market Taxes: A Real-Effort Experiment Downloads
Matthias Weber and Arthur Jan Hendricus Christoffel Schram
13-029/III: What Do Experts Know About Forecasting Journal Quality? A Comparison with ISI Research Impact in Finance Downloads
Chia-Lin Chang and Michael McAleer
13-028/VIII: Equilibrium at a Bottleneck when Long-Run and Short-Run Scheduling Preferences diverge Downloads
Stefanie Peer and Erik Teodoor Verhoef
13-027/VII: Gaming in Combinatorial Clock Auctions Downloads
Maarten Janssen and Vladimir A. Karamychev
13-026/IV/DSF51: Efficiency Gains of a European Banking Union Downloads
Dirk Schoenmaker and Arjen Siegmann
13-025/III: A Fractionally Integrated Wishart Stochastic Volatility Model Downloads
Manabu Asai and Michael McAleer
13-024/III: Modelling the Effects of Oil Prices on Global Fertilizer Prices and Volatility Downloads
Ping-Yu Chen, Chia-Lin Chang, Chi-Chung Chen and Michael McAleer
13-023/II: The Average Tree Permission Value for Games with a Permission Tree Downloads
Rene van den Brink, P. Jean-Jacques Herings, Gerard van der Laan and Dolf Talman
13-022/III: Financial Dependence Analysis: Applications of Vine Copulae Downloads
David Edmund Allen, Mohammad A. Ashraf, Michael McAleer, Robert John Powell and Abhay K. Singh
13-021/III: Recent Developments in Financial Economics and Econometrics: An Overview Downloads
Chia-Lin Chang, David Edmund Allen and Michael McAleer
13-020/III: Return-Volatility Relationship: Insights from Linear and Non-Linear Quantile Regression Downloads
David Edmund Allen, Abhay K. Singh, Robert John Powell, Michael McAleer, James Taylor and Lyn Thomas
13-019/VIII: Regulation of Road Accident Externalities when Insurance Companies have Market Power Downloads
Maria Dementyeva, Paul Koster and Erik Teodoor Verhoef
13-018/III: A Non-Parametric and Entropy Based Analysis of the Relationship between the VIX and S&P 500 Downloads
David Edmund Allen, Michael McAleer, Robert John Powell and Abhay K. Singh
13-017/V: Can Risk Adjustment prevent Risk Selection in a Competitive Long-Term Care Insurance Market? Downloads
Piet Bakx, Erik Schut and Eddy K.A. Van Doorslaer
13-016/II: Individual Expectations and Aggregate Macro Behavior Downloads
Tiziana Assenza, Peter Heemeijer, Cars Hommes and Domenico Massaro
13-015/II: Behavioral Heterogeneity in U.S. Inflation Dynamics Downloads
Adriana Cornea, Cars Hommes and Domenico Massaro
13-014/II: Behavioral Learning Equilibria Downloads
Cars Hommes and Mei Zhu
13-013/VI/DSF50: Financial Frictions and the Credit Transmission Channel: Capital Requirements and Bank Capital Downloads
Lucyna Gornicka and Sweder van Wijnbergen
13-012/VII: Mergers in Bidding Markets Downloads
Maarten Janssen and Vladimir A. Karamychev
13-011/III: Posterior-Predictive Evidence on US Inflation using Phillips Curve Models with Non-Filtered Time Series Downloads
Nalan Baştürk, Cem Çakmaklı, Sanli Pinar Ceyhan and Herman K. van Dijk
13-010/III: Has the Basel Accord Improved Risk Management During the Global Financial Crisis? Downloads
Michael McAleer, Juan Angel Jimenez-Martin and Teodosio Perez-Amaral
13-009/III: Volatility Spillovers from the US to Australia and China across the GFC Downloads
David Edmund Allen, Michael McAleer, Robert John Powell and A.K. Singh
13-008/III: Is Small Beautiful? Size Effects of Volatility Spillovers for Firm Performance and Exchange Rates in Tourism Downloads
Chia-Lin Chang, Hui-Kuang Hsu and Michael McAleer
13-007/III: How Volatile is ENSO for Global Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the Global Economy? Downloads
Lan-Fen Chu, Michael McAleer and Chi-Chung Chen
13-006/III: Statistical Modelling of Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan Downloads
Lan-Fen Chu, Michael McAleer and Ching-Chung Chang
13-005/III: Estimating Implied Recovery Rates from the Term Structure of CDS Spreads Downloads
Marcin Jaskowski and Michael McAleer
13-004/III: Statistical Modelling of Recent Changes in Extreme Rainfall in Taiwan Downloads
Lan-Fen Chu, Michael McAleer and Szu-Hua Wang
13-003/III: Leverage and Feedback Effects on Multifactor Wishart Stochastic Volatility for Option Pricing Downloads
Manabu Asai and Michael McAleer
13-002/III: Journal Impact Factor, Eigenfactor, Journal Influence and Article Influence Downloads
Chia-Lin Chang, Michael McAleer and Les Oxley
13-001/III: Tail Probabilities and Partial Moments for Quadratic Forms in Multivariate Generalized Hyperbolic Random Vectors Downloads
Simon A. Broda
12-146/IV/DSF49: Banking Competition and Soft Budget Constraints: How Market Power can threaten Discipline in Lending Downloads
Stefan Arping
12-145/V: The Social Dilemma of Microinsurance: A Framed Field Experiment on Free-Riding and Coordination Downloads
Wendy Janssens and Berber Kramer
12-144/VI: Business Cycle Fluctuations and Private Savings in OECD Countries: A Panel Data Analysis Downloads
Yvonne Adema and Lorenzo Pozzi
12-143/VII: Information at a Cost: A Lab Experiment Downloads
Pedro Robalo and Rei S. Sayag
12-142/IV/DSF48: Credit Protection and Lending Relationships Downloads
Stefan Arping
12-141/IV/DSF47: Sunshine Trading: Flashes of Trading Intent at the NASDAQ Downloads
Johannes Atle Skjeltorp, Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham
12-140/IV/DSF46: Aggregate Stock Market Illiquidity and Bond Risk Premia Downloads
Kees E. Bouwman, Elvira Sojli and Wing Wah Tham
12-139/II: Market Power in Bilateral Oligopoly Markets with Nonexpandable Infrastructures Downloads
Yukihiko Funaki, Harold Houba and Evgenia Motchenkova
12-138/V: Middlemen: A Directed Search Equilibrium Approach Downloads
Makoto Watanabe
12-137/VIII: Dynamic Congestion and Urban Equilibrium Downloads
Sergejs Gubins and Erik Teodoor Verhoef
12-136/II: Consistency, Population Solidarity, and Egalitarian Solutions for TU-Games Downloads
Rene van den Brink, Youngsub Chun, Yukihiko Funaki and Boram Park
12-135/VII: Intrinsic Motivations of Public Sector Employees: Evidence for Germany Downloads
Robert Dur and Robin Zoutenbier
12-134/VII: Do More Powerful Interest Groups have a Disproportionate Influence on Policy? Downloads
Zara Sharif and Otto H. Swank
12-133/III: Transformed Polynomials for Nonlinear Autoregressive Models of the Conditional Mean Downloads
Francisco A. A. Blasques
12-132/I: Fostering Cooperation through the Enhancement of Own Vulnerability Downloads
Anita Kopanyi-Peuker, Theo Offerman and Randolph Sloof
12-131/III: Managing Sales Forecasters Downloads
Bert de Bruijn and Philip Hans Franses
12-130/VII: Ability Dispersion and Team Performance: A Field Experiment Downloads
Sander Hoogendoorn, Simon C. Parker and Mirjam van Praag
12-129/V: Nash Bargaining and the Wage Consequences of Educational Mismatches Downloads
Joop Hartog and Michael Sattinger
12-128/III: Identification and Inference in a Simultaneous Equation under Alternative Information Sets and Sampling Schemes Downloads
Jan F. Kiviet
12-127/VII: What to put on and what to keep off the Table? A Politician's Choice of which Issues to address Downloads
Rei S. Sayag and Otto H. Swank
12-126/II: Games with a Local Permission Structure: Separation of Authority and Value Generation Downloads
Rene van den Brink and Chris Dietz
12-125/IV/DSF45: Stock Market Asymmetries: A Copula Diffusion Downloads
Denitsa Stefanova
12-124/VIII: Digital Urban Network Connectivity: Global and Chinese Internet Patterns Downloads
Emmanouil Tranos, Karima Karima Kourtit and Peter Nijkamp
12-123/VIII: International Migration: A Global Complex Network Downloads
Emmanouil Tranos, Masood Gheasi and Peter Nijkamp
12-122/VIII: Car User Taxes, Quality Characteristics and Fuel Efficiency: Household Behavior and Market Adjustment Downloads
Bruno De Borger and Jan Rouwendal
12-121/III: Speed, Algorithmic Trading, and Market Quality around Macroeconomic News Announcements Downloads
Martin L. Scholtus, Dick van Dijk and Bart Frijns
12-120/II: Social Networks and Labor Market Inequality between Ethnicities and Races Downloads
Ott Toomet, Marco Juri van der Leij and Meredith Rolfe
12-119/VIII: Hotelling Models with Price-Sensitive Demand and Asymmetric Transport Costs: An Application to Public Transport Scheduling Downloads
Adriaan Hendrik van der Weijde, Erik Teodoor Verhoef and Vincent A.C. van den Berg
12-118/III: Time-varying Combinations of Predictive Densities using Nonlinear Filtering Downloads
Monica Billio, Roberto Casarin, Francesco Ravazzolo and Herman K. van Dijk
12-117/VIII: Advantaged Bidders in Franchise Auctions Downloads
Vincent A.C. van den Berg
12-116/VIII: Competition in Multi-Modal Transport Networks: A Dynamic Approach Downloads
Adriaan Hendrik van der Weijde, Erik Teodoor Verhoef and Vincent A.C. van den Berg
12-115/IV/DSF44: Ranking Systemically Important Financial Institutions Downloads
Mardi Dungey, Matteo Luciani and David Veredas
12-114/IV: Top Incomes, Rising Inequality, and Welfare Downloads
Kevin J. Lansing and Agnieszka Markiewicz
12-113/VIII: Capacity Choice under Uncertainty with Product Differentiation Downloads
Christiaan Behrens and Mark Glenn Lijesen
12-112/VIII: Climate Change Skepticism in the Face of Catastrophe Downloads
Mark Kagan
12-111/IV/DSF43: Can European Bank Bailouts work? Downloads
Dirk Schoenmaker and Arjen Siegmann
12-110/III: A Forty Year Assessment of Forecasting the Boat Race Downloads
Geert Mesters and Siem Jan Koopman
12-109/III: Strong Consistency of the Least-Squares Estimator in Simple Regression Models with Stochastic Regressors Downloads
Norbert Christopeit and Michael Massmann
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