China’s prospects as an innovative country: an industrial economics perspective
J. Yu and
Peter Nijkamp Additional contact information J. Yu: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen en Econometrie (Free University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics Sciences, Business Administration and Economitrics
Abstract:
The recently announced Independent Innovation Strategy (IIS) signifies the climax of China’s technology catch-up effort during the past 30 years. This paper investigates the efficacy of, and prospects for this effort by reviewing comments from the relevant literature, by conducting a theoretical analysis based on industrial economics and by testing hypotheses with the latest empirical evidence. Our results suggest a bleak prospect for IIS if the Chinese government retains its excessive administrative protection of state-owned enterprises, and a long struggle ahead for China to finally push further into the technology frontier.